Nigel's Notebook — Race Previews Free AI-written previews of every UK & Irish race, refreshed nightly. Source: https://nigelsnotebook.com/previews ================================================ 2026-06-05 ================================================ --- Epsom --- 13:30 Turf · 5f · Good To Soft · 16 runners Shes Got A Brother (Michael Easterby / Billy Garritty) is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, rated at OR 82 with a recent win rate of 67%. Despite drawing stall 15, her prominent running style could see her make up ground quickly. One And Gone (Ian Williams / Edward Greatrex), also model-rated solid, has FTH headgear and an impressive trainer A/E ratio of 1.85 on 56 runs in similar races. Naana's Shadow (Katie Scott / Oisin Murphy) is another solid contender with a recent win rate of 40% and a record of 1/3 on this going, drawing stall 8 as a front-runner could give her an early advantage. Riley Rocks (Dylan Cunha / Ray Dawson), model-rated solid despite a sire A/E ratio of 0.60 on 33 runs, has drawn stall 14 and is also a front-runner with a recent win rate of 50%. Wedonttelllies (Richard Hughes / Billy Loughnane) is rated moderate but boasts a front-running style from stall 4, while Temple Of Athena (Brian Ellison / Clifford Lee), model-rated moderate though drawing stall 5, has shown consistency on this going. Hanney Girl (Tim Easterby / David Allan) and Alfa Duplicate (Ivan Furtado / Silvestre De Sousa) are both rated moderate with recent win rates of 0% and 60%, respectively; Alfa's record of 1/2 on this going and front-running style from stall 1 could be advantageous. U S S Charleston, Rosie Frith, Proof, Chairmanfourtimes, Call Margot, Coyy, Artista, and Henrythenate round out the field with weaker model ratings but still pose dangers based on their form and connections. --- Thirsk --- 13:40 Turf · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 runners Circle Of Trust holds the strongest model rating in this field and is the one piece of form with an official rating — OR 64 — to anchor the race around, and Kevin Ryan's yard is running well above expectation in similar contests, with a trainer A/E of 1.86 from a meaningful sample of 62 runs. The caveat is a win rate of 0% in recent starts and a record of 0/2 on today's good to soft going and 0/6 at the trip, so the model's confidence is not especially reflected in the form book. Ma Leila is graded solid by the model but returns from a 185-day absence and has no official rating, making her hard to weigh with any precision. Kyrenia and Soda are both solid on the model's assessment, though Kyrenia's trainer David Barron has an A/E of 0.00 from 30 similar runs — a sizeable and telling sample — and Soda's sire line reads 0.00 from 20, so neither connection offers much encouragement. Among the weaker-graded runners, Ice Show is worth a note in that David O'Meara's yard carries a trainer A/E of 1.42 from 50 runs in this sphere, which is a creditable record, even if the model itself is lukewarm on the horse's chances. On balance, the evidence sits most squarely with Circle Of Trust, though the lack of a recent win and the unproductive record in today's conditions mean this is not a particularly convincing case. --- Musselburgh --- 13:50 Turf · 1m 7f 217y · Good To Firm · 7 runners Velvet Whisper stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model assessment, rated at 74 with a solid recent form that includes a win and a second-place finish over similar distances. Her record on this going is less impressive (0/2), but she has shown consistency on good to firm ground previously. Drawn wide in stall 7, Velvet Whisper’s front-running style could see her secure an uncontested lead early on, which might suit her well despite the draw. Simple Star and Cascade Hall are also rated solid by the model at ORs of 71 and 59 respectively, though both have lower win rates recently and less favorable records on this going. Elemental Eye and Spit Spot, while rated weaker at ORs of 63 and 67, have better form on good to firm ground but lack recent wins. --- Epsom --- 14:05 Turf · 6f 3y · Good To Soft · 14 runners Hickory Lad (Phillip Makin) appears to be one of the stronger runners in today’s race at Epsom over six furlongs, with a prominent running style from stall 10. The Notebook's model rates him very strongly, and his record shows he has placed well on similar trips before. Wild Terrain (Hugo Palmer), starting from stall 13, also catches the eye with a solid sire signal and a win on this trip previously. Possessive (K R Burke) is another to consider, drawing well in stall 6 and having shown consistency on this distance. The Bookkeeper (Richard Hughes), starting from an advantageous position in stall 3 as a front-runner, could set the pace and benefit from his recent form with a 50% win rate. Alpe D'Huez (Archie Watson) has decent trainer and sire signals but starts from stall 12, which might be less ideal for his running style. Rlasthope (Tony Coyle), despite drawing well in stall 5, faces challenges with poor recent form and a record that does not favor this going or trip. --- Thirsk --- 14:15 Turf · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 runners Big Shot Veto is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 74 despite a recent winless streak. Drawn in stall 6, he can take up a prominent position from the start under James Sullivan’s guidance. Indefensible also rates well with the model and could challenge late, drawing from stall 4. Moving Rubber has shown above-average form for Geoffrey Oldroyd, who boasts an A/E ratio of 1.46 on 22 runners in similar races, though his record is limited to just one run at this trip. Tip Foster and You Will See are both rated weak by the model but could pose threats from stalls 5 and 3 respectively, with both drawing into handy positions. Sand Sea returns after a long absence of 371 days and faces an uphill battle, as does Secretinthesky, who has also been away for 195 days. --- Musselburgh --- 14:25 Turf · 7f 15y · Good To Firm · 6 runners Time For The Moon looks to have the strongest case on the evidence, rated strongly by the model despite lacking an official rating. Trained by Charlie Johnston and drawn in stall three, she boasts a better-than-expected trainer record of 1.48 from 21 similar races, suggesting solid form around this level. Tribal Appearance is assessed as solid by the model but comes with less impressive recent form, having won none of her last few starts. She’s drawn in stall five and typically runs held-up, which could be a factor given Time For The Moon's likely prominent running style. Heldobeldo, starting from stall two, rounds out the moderate runners according to the model, though her sire has shown better-than-expected form with 1.23 wins per expected on 47 starts. Odegaard and Amantha are both rated weak by the model, with Amantha facing a slight concern on her record of 0/1 in similar going. --- Epsom --- 14:40 Turf · 1m 113y · Good To Soft · 8 runners Ice Max sets the strongest case on the model's numbers, and a perfect 3/3 record on today's good to soft going is a concrete asset that stands out in this field; the K R Burke runner holds stall 6 and looks likely to dominate early from the front, potentially against limited opposition for the lead given the pace map. Stablemate Boiling Point (OR 113, stall 4) is rated higher officially and recent form matches Ice Max for strike rate, though a sire A/E of 0.40 on a 24-run sample is a drag on the model's confidence, and his single run on this going produced a defeat. Chancellor offers a cleaner profile on this ground — 1/1 on good to soft — and the Gosden yard keeps him solid on the model; prominent-running suits this undulating track and he is a fair each-way anchor from stall 3. Persica's course record of 2/2 and matching 2/2 on this going are genuinely eye-catching figures, though the model grades her only moderate and she faces a congested pace scenario up front with two other front-runners; Seagulls Eleven (286 days absent) and Royal Playwright (189 days absent) both carry the uncertainty of a long absence, and the model is cool on both. --- Thirsk --- 14:50 Turf · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 runners Irish Dancer (stall 10) is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook’s model assessment, with a recent form that includes two wins from five starts, giving her a 20% strike rate. Despite having no wins on this going or course recently, she has shown consistency at Thirsk and can be expected to race prominently from her draw. Without Flaw (stall 1) is another notable contender with solid model backing; while she lacks recent win form, her trainer’s performance in similar races exceeds expectations. Beerwah (stall 5), also rated solid by the model, has shown some promise with a 20% win rate and decent course form, though she too faces challenges on this going. Keep The Gold (stall 3) and Miss Rainbow (stall 9) both bring solid ratings but have not won recently, while Toptime (stall 11), returning after a long absence of 217 days, could be a danger if firing on all cylinders despite her poor recent record. Kyber Crystal (stall 4) and Zuffolo (stall 12) are both rated weak by the model but have shown some form on this going, making them potential surprises. The remaining runners, including Invincible Crown (stall 7), Harry Mole (stall 8), Ninety Nine (stall 2), and Aurora's Doublesix (stall 6), are also rated weak by the model with limited recent success to support their chances. --- Musselburgh --- 15:00 Turf · 7f 15y · Good To Firm · 10 runners Sandy Craic (David O'Meara / Daniel Tudhope) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 70 with a solid grade despite recent form that shows no wins. With a prominent running style from stall 5, she could secure an uncontested lead if rivals do not challenge early. Highland Shah (Julie Camacho / Ryan Sexton), also on a solid model rating of OR 68, has a handy draw in stall 2 and can be expected to race prominently as well. Homestrait (Brian Ellison / Ben Robinson) is rated moderate at OR 69 and could pose a threat from stall 9 with two wins from ten runs over this trip, although recent form on good to firm ground is lacking. The Anthony Gover (Dr Richard Newland / Jack Doughty), rated moderate at OR 63, has an excellent sire record but limited experience on the going, starting from stall 1. Maximum Velocity (Nigel Tinkler / Alex Jary) brings a recent 20% win rate into this race and could be dangerous in a field where early pace is uncertain, particularly with a moderate model rating of OR 62 from stall 4. Born A Star (Charlie Johnston / Cieren Fallon), rated weak at OR 70 but with a strong trainer record, starts from stall 3 and may benefit from an uncontested lead if others are held up. --- Epsom --- 15:15 Turf · 1m 2f 17y · Good To Soft · 17 runners Respond looks to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook’s model, rated at 105 with a front-running style from stall 15. Andrew Balding’s horse has won 40% of its recent starts and boasts solid form on Good To Soft going despite only having run once under such conditions. Roger Varian’s Sallaal is also well-regarded, model-rated at 107 and another front-runner starting from stall 16. Both Respond and Sallaal could benefit from uncontested leads early on. Liberty Lane, drawn in stall one with a held-up style, has shown some form recently but lacks the same level of consistency as Respond. Michael Bell’s Let's Dream is model-rated at 92 and also runs prominently, potentially causing issues for front-runners if they tire late. Ian Williams’ Beylerbeyi, despite an unconvincing recent record, benefits from strong trainer and sire signals and could pose a danger. Richard Fahey’s Have Secret, with a prominent style from stall seven, has shown flashes of form but lacks the consistency to be considered a serious contender. James Owen’s Ammes is model-rated at 91 but has struggled in recent outings and faces an uphill battle. Tom Dascombe’s Auld Toon Loon and Gary Moore’s Alpha Crucis both lack recent wins and face tough tasks from their draws. Quai De Bethune, despite a long absence, could pose a late threat with a front-running style from stall two. Bolster, also returning after a lengthy break and wearing first-time headgear, has shown some form in the past but faces an uncertain return to action. Great David, Tycoon, Spoken Truth, and King's Code all lack recent wins and face significant challenges to compete at this level. Overall, Respond and Sallaal stand out with the strongest cases based on their model ratings and form, though Let's Dream could be a late danger if front-runners tire. --- Thirsk --- 15:30 Turf · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 runners Sherlock (Kevin Ryan) is rated one of the stronger runners by the Notebook's model with an official rating of 63, despite a modest record at Thirsk and on good to soft going. Taygar (Michael Dods), also with an OR of 63, boasts a better form profile on this going and has placed twice in similar conditions. Elvetham (Conrad Allen) is another solid contender with an OR of 60, though his record at the trip is sparse; he tends to race prominently from stall 10. Annie Edson Taylor (Phillip Makin), rated 62, shows some promise despite a poor recent form line but has fared better on this going in the past. Bibendum (Julie Camacho) returns after a long absence and carries an OR of 58; while his trainer excels with similar runners, he needs to prove himself post-121 days off. Imperial Guard (Michael Dods), rated 64 but only moderate on the model, brings first-time headgear from stall 5. Woodhay Whisper (Ron Barr) and Fan Mail (Tim Easterby) both hold moderate ratings of 63 and 62 respectively, though neither has a standout record at this trip or going. Kitaab (Philip Kirby), East Tyrone (Philip Kirby), and Teddy Shaw (Ruth Carr) are seen as weaker options by the model, with ORs ranging from 45 to 57 and limited form on good to soft ground. --- Musselburgh --- 15:40 Turf · 1m 208y · Good To Firm · 8 runners Three runners share the model's solid grade at the head of affairs, with Amidst The Chaos — the highest-rated runner at OR 66 — carrying the most compelling course-and-distance evidence: a 1/1 record at Musselburgh, 1/2 on good to firm and 1/4 at the trip give a consistent picture, though the Tinkler yard's trainer A/E of 0.37 on a modest 21-run sample is a flag worth noting against the sire's strong 1.69 A/E. Poet's Dawn and Starliner sit alongside on the model with recent form showing 20% strike rates, Starliner's 2/5 on this going particularly relevant, while Charlie Johnston's Union Island — model moderate — has a strong trip record of 4/8 and the benefit of a trainer A/E above par at 1.13. Detective looks the chief outsider on model grades but attracts attention through first-time headgear, a sire A/E of 2.53 and a trainer A/E of 1.42 on 37 runs, and a trip record of 4/23 that shows she has placed here before; enough to keep her in the reckoning as a danger, even if the model is lukewarm. --- Epsom --- 16:00 Turf · 1m 4f 6y · Good To Soft · 9 runners Amelia Earhart heads the model's assessment alongside Legacy Link and Thundering On, all three grading strong, and it is Amelia Earhart who catches the eye most sharply: a 40% recent strike rate, a record of 1/1 at this trip and 1/2 on today's good to soft, and a trainer in Aidan O'Brien whose A/E of 1.76 across 32 comparable runners is one of the standout figures on the card. The pace picture is worth noting — Amelia Earhart, Legacy Link and A La Prochaine all carry front-running profiles, which may set up a searching test for those held up, though Legacy Link's 50% recent win rate from stall 1 makes her a genuine rival rather than merely a pacemaker to discount. Thundering On holds the highest official rating at OR 107 and runs prominently from stall 5, with Joseph O'Brien's near-neutral A/E of 1.02 over a sizeable 101-run sample suggesting solid rather than exceptional trainer form in this sphere; the sire A/E of 1.20 adds a minor positive note. Venetian Lace carries OR 110, the top official mark in the field, but the model is only moderate on her prospects, her recent form shows no wins, and her sole run on good to soft produced a defeat — she is the danger if that official mark is the truer guide. The Beckett runners — On Message, K Sarra and A La Prochaine — all grade weak on the model and are trained by a yard running below expectations at 0.69, leaving the stronger evidence firmly concentrated in the first three names. --- Thirsk --- 16:10 Turf · 1m 4f 8y · Good To Soft · 6 runners King Of Berkshire and Myrrh share the model's attention at the head of this modest mile-and-a-half class 5, with the Notebook's model rating both strongly ahead of the remainder. King Of Berkshire (stall 2) carries the higher official mark at OR 74 and races prominently, though the only trip record on file shows 0/1 at this distance; Myrrh (OR 68) has the backing of a David O'Meara trainer A/E of 1.73 from a substantial 120-run sample, a meaningful edge in a field of this quality. Forever Perfect represents the yard of Rebecca Menzies, whose A/E of 1.33 gives her modest credentials here, though the model rates that runner only moderately and a 0/1 record on today's good-to-soft going is a minor caution. The three held-up runners — Rumbustious, Wave Power, and Fareenar — are all graded weak by the model, with Rumbustious and Fareenar each showing blank recent win records and Fareenar's 0/2 on this going offering little encouragement. --- Musselburgh --- 16:15 Turf · 5f 1y · Good To Firm · 8 runners Right And Exact (stall 2) is one of the stronger runners in the model's view, with a solid official rating of 82 and a recent form that includes two wins from four starts. Although she has no wins at Musselburgh (0/1), her record on good to firm going is respectable (0/2). With a front-running style, Right And Exact could capitalise if she secures an uncontested lead early on. Tiva (stall 8) and Woohoo (stall 7) are both rated moderately by the model, each showing reasonable form and experience at Musselburgh, though Woohoo has a stronger record on good to firm going (3/8). Little Mi Mi (stall 3), despite being one of the weaker runners according to the model, could pose an upset threat with her front-running style and recent winning form. --- Fairyhouse --- 16:20 Turf · 7f · Good · 9 runners Florida Bay (#4) looks to be one of the stronger runners in today’s race according to the model, despite having no official rating yet. Trained by A P O'Brien from stall 3, Florida Bay has shown some promise on good going and at this trip, although limited form means there is only a single run recorded under these conditions (0/1). Dancing Destiny (#3), with a recent win rate of 50%, could pose a significant challenge as she typically takes the lead. Starting from stall 4, her front-running style might allow her to dictate the pace early on. Mudyrk (#5) in stall 2 is also rated solid by the model and could benefit from an uncontested lead if Dancing Destiny sets the pace. Telegraph Road (#7), starting from stall 7, has no official rating but could be a danger given his moderate model grade. The field includes several other runners with moderate ratings, such as Blitogue (#2) in stall 5 and Apollo's Comet (#8) in stall 8, who have less impressive trainer signals (0.29 on 30 runs). My Antonio (#6) from stall 6 and Tina Tereshkova (#9), starting wide in stall 1, both carry weak model grades but could still be factors if they run to form. --- Epsom --- 16:40 Turf · 1m 113y · Good To Soft · 18 runners Mister Winston (Andrew Balding / Oisin Murphy) stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model with a rating of 97 and a solid record course-wise at Epsom. With a front-running style from stall 8, he could secure an uncontested lead early on, giving him a significant advantage over the field. Celeborn (George Boughey / Billy Loughnane) also rates highly, boasting a strong recent form of 40% and impressive stats at this going and trip, with a front-runner style from stall 9 that could challenge Mister Winston for the lead. Man Of La Mancha (Ralph Beckett / Rossa Ryan), from stall 2, is another prominent runner who can race handily and has shown consistent form recently. Principality (Harry Eustace / George Wood) and Stem (Richard Hannon / P J Dobbs) both have solid ORs of 89 but lack recent wins; their moderate model grades reflect this inconsistency. Mirsky (David O'Meara / Hector Crouch), with a record course win, could be a danger from stall 10 if she can close late effectively. Asmen Warrior (James Owen / Silvestre De Sousa) and Walsingham (David O'Meara / Jason Watson), both front-runners, might struggle given their poor records on this going and trip. Jimmy Speaking (Chris Dwyer / Lewis Edmunds), with a strong record at this going from stall 16, could be an outside chance if he can maintain his early pace. --- Thirsk --- 16:45 Turf · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 runners Military Girl heads the model's assessments for this five-furlong sprint and has solid backing from connections: Michael Dods' yard runs at an A/E of 1.14 over a substantial 200-run sample, and the horse's record on today's good to soft going reads a perfect 1/1, which is the most relevant conditional evidence on offer. Fille Unique shares the model's "strong" grade and is the more interesting yard angle — Bryan Smart's operation shows an A/E of 1.60 from 38 runners in similar races, though the sire's 0.43 A/E on 26 runs is a mild drag on the profile; drawn in stall 5 and racing prominently, she will likely be travelling in Military Girl's company early. Pull The Rug attracts attention through the trainer angle — Ed Bethell's small-sample A/E of 2.05 is eye-catching — and the horse has won on today's going in one attempt, though a held-up style from stall 10 over a sharp five furlongs asks questions of how much ground can be made late. Dragon Spin is model-rated solid but the sire's A/E of 0.00 from 34 runners is an uncomfortable flag, and J Street's 0/4 record on good to soft limits the case there. The most intriguing wild card is Cheerleader: a front-runner returning from a 291-day absence with a record of 1/1 on this going and 2/10 at the trip — if the layoff has been straightforward, an uncontested lead over five furlongs could make her awkward to peg back, though that long absence is the obvious caveat. --- Musselburgh --- 16:50 Turf · 1m 2y · Good To Firm · 6 runners Mereside Princess (David Barron/Oliver Stammers) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 53 with a solid recent form that includes a win in her last two outings. Despite lacking a record on this going and trip, she has shown consistency and benefits from drawing stall 1, likely positioning her prominently early on. Lope Y Linda (Tim Easterby/S B Kirrane), rated model: solid at OR 50, also shows promise with similar recent form but faces the challenge of an unflattering record on good to firm ground. Royal Baroness and Bobbys Pride both return after long absences and have no recent wins, making them less likely threats despite their moderate ratings. --- Fairyhouse --- 16:55 Turf · 7f · Good · 17 runners Zenford (J.P. Murtagh) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 78 with a solid trainer performance metric of A/E 1.04 on 22. The horse has shown no recent wins but has been prominent in its running style from stall 9. Krasimir (G.M. Lyons) is also well-regarded by the model despite his long absence, rated at OR 84 and with a strong trainer record of A/E 1.13 on 32. However, he faces competition from Suspicious Mindz (Shane Foley), who benefits from a consistent sire performance metric of A/E 1.08 on 176, though his recent form is unbroken. Al Haarith (J.M. Sheridan) carries an OR 107 and has a strong trainer record with A/E 1.57 on 51, along with a favourable sire performance at A/E 1.55 on 247. His first-time headgear could be beneficial, though he too is returning from a long absence. Solana Beach (Seamie Heffernan) and Oro Blanco (Scott McCullagh) are both rated solidly by the model despite their lack of official ratings, with Solana drawing stall 12 and Oro Blanco in stall 17. However, Oro Blanco’s sire has shown above-expectation performance at A/E 1.17 on 264. The race also features several runners who are less favoured by the model, such as Sands Castle (Gavin Ryan) and Green Amoro (Declan McDonogh), both of whom have running styles that could see them held up. Ocean Echo (Paddy Harnett) and Due In June (J.J.G. Ryan) are also rated weakly but may pose a threat if they can secure good positions early on. Overall, the race looks competitive with several runners having strong connections and potential to challenge for the lead from prominent draws. --- Bath --- 17:00 Turf · 1m 6f · Good · 8 runners No More Bolero (James Owen / William Carson) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 73 with a solid grade. The horse boasts a front-running style from stall 7 and has won on this course previously, despite no wins in recent runs on good going. Taritino (J Tickle / Taylor Fisher), also graded solid by the model at OR 66, is another contender with a front-runner profile from stall 2; however, his record on good going is less impressive. Lusaka (John Flint / Rose Dawes) and Kotari (Gary Moore / Rhys Clutterbuck) are both rated moderate by the model, each carrying form that suggests they could be competitive, though neither has recent wins to their name. The remaining runners, while not as highly graded, could still pose threats if conditions suit them. --- Clonmel --- 17:05 Hurdle · 2m 113y · Good · 17 runners Whats New (Andrew Slattery/Philip Donovan) stands out as one of the stronger runners according to the model, with an official rating of 105 despite a recent winless streak. The horse's held-up running style suggests it may find its best racing from a prominent position in the closing stages. Clanokre Lass (Gordon Elliott/C M Hogan) is also rated strongly by the model and benefits from solid form signals, with her trainer excelling at this level. Magna Gee Gee (Patrick J Flynn/Mr A P Kelly), another strong contender, has shown consistent form but faces competition given her sire’s below-average performance in similar races. William F Browne (Paul W Flynn/Mr Kieren Buckley) and Straightenyourhand (W J Burke/Alan O'Sullivan) round out the moderate contenders, with both rated solidly by the model despite their recent winless runs. Dahoma (Declan Queally/Ricky Doyle), wearing first-time headgear, and Open Approach (Gordon Elliott/Kevin Sexton) pose dangers, particularly given their trainer’s strong form signals at this level. Johnny Rambo (Donncha Duggan/John Shinnick) and The West A Yeats (L J Archdeacon/Dylan Whelan), both rated weak by the model, bring some uncertainty to the race with their respective sire connections showing better-than-expected results. --- Doncaster --- 17:10 Turf · 1m 3f 197y · Good To Firm · 7 runners The Notebook's model makes **The Ubermensch** the standout here, and Michael Bell's record in similar races (A/E 1.43 over 35 runs) lends the case reasonable support, even if the horse arrives on a winless recent run and is 0/1 on today's going. The prominent running style could prove an asset in a field where every other runner is held-up, with little obvious early pace to trouble him. **Sweet Kiss** is the chief danger on form credentials: a perfect course record (1/1) and a solid 2/3 on good to firm give Tim Easterby's runner the clearest conditions profile in the field, though the sire A/E of 0.54 and a trainer running below expectation temper the case. **Division Day** returns from a 121-day absence and is 0/3 on today's going, which the data does not flatter, while **Animato** — rated highest officially at OR 64 — is rated weakly by the model despite an extensive trip record of 3/23. --- Epsom --- 17:15 Turf · 7f 3y · Good To Soft · 9 runners Stellar Sunrise (Andrew Balding/Oisin Murphy) looks to be one of the stronger runners in this seven-furlong contest at Epsom, rated a strong contender by the Notebook's model with an official rating of 103 and recent form that includes a win in her last two starts. The horse’s front-running style could give her an advantage if she secures an uncontested lead from stall five. Greek Mythology (Joseph Patrick O'Brien/Dylan Browne McMonagle) is rated solid by the model, with a consistent record at this trip despite not having won recently. Postmodern (H Al Jehani/James Doyle), returning after a long absence of 353 days and wearing first-time headgear from stall two, could also be a factor given his front-running style and trainer’s above-average performance in similar races. Ten Carat Harry (Jamie Osborne/Saffie Osborne) is another front-runner with recent form that suggests he can be competitive at this trip despite not having the highest official rating. The model views Awaken (George Boughey/Billy Loughnane), Ellusive Butterfly (K R Burke/Clifford Lee), and Assaranca (Richard Hannon/Sean Levey) as weaker options, though their running styles and recent performances should still be monitored closely. --- Thirsk --- 17:20 Turf · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 runners The model's strongest assessments land jointly on Showtown and Napolian, both rated strong relative to this field and both carrying an OR of 72, though the evidence around each is complicated. Showtown has the stronger official-rating profile but is winless recently, holds a record of 0/4 on today's going and 0/7 at the trip, and Kevin Ryan's trainer A/E of 0.41 in similar races is a notable drag on confidence. Napolian brings a more encouraging trainer picture — David O'Meara's A/E of 1.73 on a substantial 120 runs is a real positive, and the sire signal supports it too — but the 253-day absence and an unbroken 0/4 record at the trip make this a significant unknown returning from a long layoff. Among the solid-rated quartet, Empress Olivia stands out for having genuinely positive form in today's conditions (1/2 on good to soft) and a record of 2/8 at the trip, with Mark Walford's yard running above expectation; Von Trotter races prominently for Michael Easterby, whose A/E of 1.39 on 74 runs gives him legitimate claims, and at least the running style offers something different in a field dominated by hold-up horses. Daizen has a trip win to her name (1/8) and Rebecca Menzies's yard A/E reads well on a fair sample, while Brave Traveller's trainer Bryan Smart posts an A/E of 1.60 across 38 similar runs, even if the trip record of 0/4 gives pause. The model rates everything below that group as moderate or weak, and with a field of 13 holding-up runners and no obvious pace angle, Empress Olivia's course-and-conditions form looks the most concrete piece of evidence on the day. --- Goodwood --- 17:25 Turf · 1m 1f 11y · Good To Soft · 9 runners Bizou (Jonathan Portman / Olivia Tubb) looks to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook’s model with a rating of 67 and an impressive recent won percentage of 40%. The horse's front-running style could give it an edge, especially from stall 9. However, Bizou has struggled on good to soft going, having not won in such conditions (record this going 0/1). Tilani (Ian Williams / Jack Dace) is another solid contender with a rating of 65 and recent form showing two wins in ten starts on similar ground. With a front-running style from stall 7, she could challenge for the lead. Oman (Tony Carroll / Myla Coppins), despite being first-time headgear, has a strong sire signal and a reasonable record at this trip (1/4). However, her held-up running style might make it harder to secure a good position early on from stall 5. Platinum Prince (Gary Moore / Mr Jude Fernandes) is another runner worth considering, with an OR of 67 and solid course form (3/8), though his held-up style could be a concern given the going conditions. --- Fairyhouse --- 17:30 Turf · 7f · Good · 7 runners County Carlow is the standout on the model's assessment — rated very strong, the only runner with a perfect trip record (1/1), and carrying a recent 33% strike rate into stall 6 where the prominent style should suit racing handily from mid-field. Ocean's Breath, solid on the model with trainer (A/E 1.13) and sire (A/E 1.08) numbers both above expectation, shapes as the chief danger from stall 1, though the first-time headgear adds an unknown and a record of 0/1 on this going and 0/3 at the trip gives little encouragement. Kindergarten holds the highest official rating at OR 90 but the model is only moderate and the trainer's A/E of 0.29 on 30 runs in similar contests is a notable drag on confidence, even with a trip win to the name. Luna Mia's 237-day absence and a record of 0/5 on this going make her a significant unknown, while the model is weak on the remainder. --- Bath --- 17:35 Turf · 5f 160y · Good · 12 runners Graceful George (Charlie Fellowes / Rob Hornby) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, despite having no official rating or recent wins. The horse's FTH headgear could be a positive factor, although his record on good going and at this trip is unimpressive with 0/1 in both categories. Starting from stall 7, Graceful George typically runs held-up but will need to find cover early, which may prove challenging given the likely prominent racing style of Bill The Bull (Adam Kirby / Pat Cosgrave) from stall 1. Bill The Bull also lacks an official rating and a recent win, but his strong model grade suggests he could be competitive if able to secure a good position upfront. Madentine (Clive Cox / Joe Leavy), with a solid model grade, has shown better form at this trip and going, making her another contender worth watching from stall 3. Holi Scarlett (Stuart Williams / Gina Mangan) and Temple Court (Eve Johnson Houghton / Callum Hutchinson) both have moderate grades but lack recent wins or strong records on the current conditions, while Lucky Larry (Jack Morland / Nicola Currie) could be a danger from an advantageous stall 8. --- Clonmel --- 17:40 Hurdle · 2m 113y · Good · 17 runners Gino Bella is the standout on the model's assessment, graded very strongly relative to this field and holding the joint-top official mark of 100 alongside Tingarran Express — Patrick T Foley's runner also benefits from a trainer A/E of 1.65 across 38 runs, a genuinely encouraging strike-rate sample, and races prominently which can be an asset in a 17-runner handicap hurdle where a handy position counts. Tingarran Express matches that OR 100 but the model is only moderate on the runner, the sire's A/E of 0.94 is unremarkable, and a 20% recent win-rate is modest; it remains a presence however given the rating. Small Bucks (OR 96) and Mon Sheriffe (OR 90) both grade solid on the model: Small Bucks holds a clear ratings edge over most of the solid group, while Mon Sheriffe's chief attraction is a sire A/E of 2.51 from 22 runs — a small but notably above-expectation sample. Ishan carries OR 99 and represents a live weight-carrying query given the trainer's A/E of just 0.67 from 34 attempts at this level, and the model is only moderate; Theanniversary Man, rated just 86, at least offers a 40% recent win-rate and front-running style that could see him dictate on a relatively open-gallop track. Among the weaker-graded runners, Marlpark's trainer (1.48/81 runs) and Boogie Inthejungle's yard (1.17/64 runs) offer modest structural support, though Boogie Inthejungle runs in first-time headgear which adds an unknown, and Gentle Annie comes here on a long absence of 213 days with a sire A/E of 0.00 from 46 runs — a stark figure. The evidence clusters most convincingly around Gino Bella, with the model's top grade, the top official rating, and a trainer who significantly outperforms expectations the clearest combination in the field. --- Doncaster --- 17:45 Turf · 1m 2f 43y · Good To Firm · 9 runners My Mate Roger is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, rated at OR 86 despite limited recent form. Drawn in stall six, he has shown a prominent running style that could be advantageous given his connections' strong performance indicators; Tom Clover and Jack Mitchell have an A/E ratio of 1.77 based on similar races. Harmonics is another to consider, with John Gosden's solid model rating and B D L Sayette in the saddle. Though ungraded officially, Harmonics boasts a recent win rate of 50%, drawing from stall seven as a front-runner. Le Morbihan, despite being moderate-rated, could pose a threat given his single run at this trip where he failed to place but showed promise. Ingemar and Hawksworth are both weakly rated with no official ratings, while Annahita and Cliff Danger, also weakly rated, have form concerns and draw issues that mitigate their chances further. West Sleekburn Lad returns after a long absence of 230 days, drawing in stall two but carries significant risk due to his lack of recent competitive exposure. --- Epsom --- 17:50 Turf · 7f 3y · Good To Soft · 16 runners Dance In The Storm is the clear standout on the model's numbers, graded very strong in a field where nothing else gets beyond solid, and Andrew Balding's yard runs at an A/E of 1.64 from a substantial 54-runner sample in comparable races — a meaningful edge in a 16-runner handicap. Drawn in stall 2 and likely to race prominently, Dance In The Storm is positioned to avoid the scrimmage that often afflicts horses trapped wide in a big-field sprint, though the one run on this going produced a defeat rather than a win. Pietro and Monarch's Gold both grade solid on the model: Pietro has a respectable course record of 1/2 and has been winning at a 40% clip recently, but four runs on this going without a win is a note of caution; Monarch's Gold, the higher-rated of the two at OR 93, carries a trip record of 0/2 at seven furlongs. Veblen Good shapes as a potential pace factor from stall 12, where a front-runner likely gets a clear view racing wide, and a 40% recent win-rate keeps the O'Meara runner in the discussion, though the trip record of 1/5 is modest. Crimson Spirit has course form worth noting — 2/5 at Epsom — and a trip record of 5/17 suggests genuine familiarity with the distance, though the model is only moderate and recent form on this going is a blank. Aurora Majesty returns from 234 days off and the model is no more than moderate, making the absence a genuine unknown; similarly, Rhoscolyn has a tidy course record of 2/4 but the model grades weakly, and a recent run of 0% wins does little to argue against that assessment. The model's view points firmly at the top of the market, with the Balding runner the strongest evidence on offer in what is otherwise a muddling, closely-weighted field. --- Goodwood --- 17:55 Turf · 1m · Good To Soft · 7 runners Venetian Gold stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model with a rating of 79 and a solid recent form that includes a win at 50%. Drawn in stall 3, she is listed as a front-runner, which could give her an advantage if she can secure uncontested leadership early on. Matilda Joslyngage, despite having no wins recently, benefits from a favourable sire signal (1.08) and could pose a threat with her held-up running style from stall 7. Afraj, returning after a long absence of 191 days, faces an uncertain proposition but has the inside draw in stall 2, which might suit his chances if he handles the going well. Poddle Park, Miss Guinevere, Blue Birdie, and Living In Hope are rated more moderately by the model, with concerns around their sire signals and recent form, particularly given their held-up running styles and trainer performances below expectation. --- Fairyhouse --- 18:00 Turf · 6f · Good · 7 runners Howd'yadoit is the standout on both the model and official ratings, the Notebook's model grading the G M Lyons runner very strong — a clear step above the rest of the field — and an OR of 101 confirms the advantage; a recent strike-rate of 40% and a trip record of 2/6 add substance, while as the likely front-runner from stall 7 he may need to work to lead, though he has previously shown he can do so. Tina's Indian (OR 93, model solid) is the only other runner the model views with any real regard, and both trainer and sire A/E figures above 1.3 on meaningful samples are encouraging; first-time headgear is an unknown, but a trip record of 2/9 is workable. The remaining five are all graded weak by the model, though Tango Flare's course record of 2/3 at Fairyhouse stands out among them, and Alibah's sole run on this going ended in a win — a slender but genuine piece of evidence from Joseph O'Brien's yard, where the trainer A/E of 1.57 on 51 runs is a reliable signal. --- Bath --- 18:05 Turf · 5f 160y · Good · 11 runners Miss Magic Dragon heads the Notebook's model assessments with a strong grade, and her record of 1/1 at Bath makes her the standout on course form in what is otherwise a relatively thin handicap. Tickettothestars shares that strong model rating and brings a 20% recent strike rate, though a trip record of 1/9 and a going record of 1/6 on today's good ground give some pause about reliability at this trip and in these conditions. Of the pair, Miss Magic Dragon's prominent running style also suits a race where the pace picture looks straightforward, racing from stall 5. Luna Beaux holds the highest official rating in the field at OR 58 and trainer Adrian Wintle posts a steady A/E of 1.04 over a substantial sample, but she is 0/6 on this going and 0/7 at the trip, which the model reflects in only a solid grade. Mortubo catches the eye for connections — trainer and sire both post A/E figures of 1.21 and 1.23 respectively over reasonable samples, and first-time headgear is applied — though the model is moderate on the form itself, and a nil-from-two trip record limits the case. Geemann and Gal both return from long absences and the model rates neither warmly; the strongest evidence in this race sits squarely with the top two on the model's rankings. --- Clonmel --- 18:10 Hurdle · 2m 113y · Good · 17 runners You Done Well (Michael J Browne / Alan O'Sullivan) is rated one of the stronger runners by the Notebook's model at an official rating of 94. The horse has no recent wins but holds a solid OR, and its held-up running style could see it finish strongly from a favourable position. Go To Town (Ross O'Sullivan / Ricky Doyle), with a strong model grade and an impressive sire signal, is another contender worth considering at an official rating of 99. Sidiriya (P J Rothwell / Dylan Robinson) also stands out as a strong option, particularly given its prominent running style which could prove advantageous in securing a good position early on. Fedneys Park (Henry De Bromhead / Dylan Whelan), despite no recent wins, benefits from a high trainer signal and is rated solid by the model at an OR of 98. I'm Flattered (Padraig Roche / Mr A P Kelly) and Must Meet Cecil (C Collins / Mr C P Millar) are also solid runners with similar ratings, though their lack of recent wins and held-up styles might require them to find cover or face a challenge in the closing stages. Getaway Henry (Daniel O'Leary / Gavin Brouder), while rated moderate, has shown some form on soft ground and could be a danger if conditions suit. Kp's Ladyofknock (Mark Fahey / Mr T E O'Connor) also merits attention with recent success at 20%, despite being rated moderately by the model. --- Doncaster --- 18:20 Turf · 1m · Good To Firm · 7 runners Ruler Of Time looks to be the standout on paper, with the Notebook’s model rating him very strongly despite a long absence of 303 days. Drawing stall five should allow him to settle in a prominent position under Zac Lloyd, and Charlie Appleby’s form signal suggests he performs well above expectations for similar runners. Seet is another with solid credentials, boasting a recent win rate of 50% and drawing from stall six as a front-runner. However, his lack of an official rating and smaller sample size temper the confidence in his chances. Master Of Delphi, Electric Dreams, Upper East, Impierious, and Forever Endless round out the field but appear less likely to challenge the top two based on their weaker model grades and form signals. --- Goodwood --- 18:27 Turf · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 runners Cameley Days looks to be one of the stronger runners in today’s race at Goodwood over 6 furlongs on good to soft going. With a model grade of solid and an official rating of 68, she has shown recent form with a win rate of 40%, and her record on this going is 1/2. Drawn in stall 8, she typically takes the lead early, which could be advantageous given that no other front-runner appears to have as strong a case based on their ratings and form. Magna (model: solid) and Midnight Call (model: solid), both also rated around OR 69-66, present significant challenges with recent win rates of 60% and 40%, respectively. Magna’s trainer has an underperforming record but the horse's consistency could see it run well from stall 9 in a prominent position. Midnight Call, drawn in stall 4, also aims to take the lead early, potentially setting up a strong pace. Twirler (model: solid) and Moostar (model: moderate) have shown some form on this going but are less consistent overall. Insuspense, Rye, Thunderous Love, Land Of Magic, and Addarella all lack recent wins and face uphill battles given their weaker model grades and lower ratings. --- Fairyhouse --- 18:34 Turf · 6f · Good · 21 runners Polar Bear (Mrs John Harrington / D S O'Sullivan) appears to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model assessment, rated at OR 57 with a very strong grade despite having no recent wins and poor form on this going. Drawing from stall 20, Polar Bear is likely to settle towards the rear and may benefit from a run that suits his held-up style. Sovereign Banter (Andrew Slattery / J S Dalton), rated at OR 52 with a strong model grade, could pose a significant threat given his prominent running style and draw in stall 18. Verhoyen (M C Grassick / W J Lee) is another solid contender, boasting an impressive record on this going and trip, though recent form lacks wins. Platino Bianco (Conor Maxwell / R Whearty), I'm Spartacus (Adrian McGuinness / Adam Caffrey), and Subiaco (Kieran P Cotter / M Dos Santos) also have reasonable ratings and could be factors in the race. The large field may lead to congestion, particularly for those drawn towards the inside, such as Glen Breeze (Patrick Magee / Chris Hayes) from stall 1 and Mini Cotai (M Mulvany / Wesley Joyce) from stall 3. --- Bath --- 18:40 Turf · 5f 160y · Good · 10 runners Lequinto (Tony Carroll / Matthew Slater) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, with an official rating of 72 and a solid recent form record that includes two wins in her last five starts. While she has struggled on good going in the past, having won just once in seven attempts, her prominent running style from stall six could see her secure a handy position early. Strike (Jonathan Portman / Rob Hornby) is also rated solid by the model and benefits from strong trainer form, with Jonathan Portman outperforming expectations significantly. Although he has had limited success on this going, his consistent placing record suggests he can still compete effectively. Jax Edge (C Mason / Gina Mangan), another solid-rated runner, boasts a better record on good ground, having won twice in twelve attempts, and her held-up style could see her finish strongly from stall four. Tiger Tulip (Heather Main / Joe Leavy) has form on this going and trip, with two wins in seven starts on good ground and two in fifteen at the distance. However, she faces tough competition in a field where several runners are capable of challenging for placings. --- Clonmel --- 18:45 Hurdle · 2m 113y · Good · 15 runners Market Ready looks to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, rated at 103 with a very strong grade. The horse’s prominent running style could give it an advantage if it can secure a good position early on. In The Trenches is also highly regarded by the model and carries an official rating of 108; its trainer has performed well above expectations in similar races, though the sire's record suggests caution. It’s All Clear, wearing first-time headgear, could benefit from any improvement this brings, while Welcome Back, also with FTH, might gain a positive reaction despite its yard underperforming recently. Holy Joe is rated weak by the model but has shown strong form under Gordon Elliott, who excels in class 4 races; however, his sire’s below-par record may be a concern. Riverstown Boy and Care To Differ both lack official ratings but have decent sire signals, while This Songisforyou returns after a long absence of over eight months. The field is deep with several runners carrying first-time headgear or returning from extended layoffs, adding to the unpredictability. --- Doncaster --- 18:55 Turf · 7f 6y · Good To Firm · 12 runners King's Cavalry (stall 7) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 82 with a solid record on good to firm going (1/1). James Tate’s charge has shown consistency, winning 33% of recent starts and typically racing prominently. Rogue Messiah (stall 12), trained by James Owen, is also highly regarded, boasting an impressive trainer signal (A/E 2.62) and a front-running style that could secure an uncontested lead early on. Thunder Call (stall 11) under William Haggas shows potential with a strong trainer signal (A/E 1.50), though his record at this trip is less convincing, having not won in two attempts. King's Trust (stall 3) and Sanaam (stall 6) are both rated moderately by the model but face questions over their form on good to firm going and at this trip respectively. Blakefell (stall 1), French Affair (stall 2), and Night Patrol (stall 5) round out the chief dangers, each with modest trainer signals and recent win rates around 20%. Peel Park (stall 4), Illy's Roo (stall 10), Toastmaster (stall 9), and Valpovo (stall 8) complete the field but lack standout credentials based on available data. --- Goodwood --- 19:02 Turf · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 runners Three runners share the model's highest grade here — Perfect Location, Fanjove, and Miss Lady Grace — and between them they carry the bulk of what evidence there is. Perfect Location (OR 69, stall 4) is the pick of the trio on ratings and carries the benefit of Tom Ward's trainer A/E of 1.36 over a meaningful 39-run sample, with the sire record similarly above par; the model rates the form solid, though a 0% recent strike rate and a record of 0/1 on this going and 0/3 at the trip are worth noting. Fanjove brings a 20% recent strike rate and races prominently from stall 7, which gives connections a clear tactical option in what looks a thoroughly held-up field — he is the only runner here with that running style, and with little obvious front-running competition for the early lead, that could prove a straightforward advantage. Miss Lady Grace also sits solid on the model with a matching 20% recent return, though she has not scored in three attempts at seven furlongs. Twilight Glow holds the highest official rating at OR 70 but the model is merely moderate on the horse, and a trainer A/E of 0.72 across 36 runs adds a muted note; the record of 0/5 at the trip is difficult to ignore. Irish Fusilier returns from a 220-day absence and the model is weak on its chances, so while Gary Moore's trainer A/E of 1.63 on 125 runs is one of the stronger connection signals in the race, the comeback context tempers that considerably. --- Fairyhouse --- 19:09 Turf · 1m 1f 190y · Good · 13 runners Big Cypress holds the strongest position on the Notebook's model — a very strong grade that sits comfortably clear of the rest — and Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard posts a trainer A/E of 1.57 on a meaningful 51-run sample, while the sire's A/E of 1.79 from 201 runners reinforces the case; the horse races prominently from stall 9 and carries an official mark of 73. Noble Honour and Pierre Grosse both grade strongly on the model under Mrs John Harrington, though the trainer's A/E of 0.29 on 30 runs is a notable counterweight to that rating for both, and Pierre Grosse's record of 0/3 on this going and 0/3 at the trip is unencouraging on the bare figures. Antigua holds the highest official rating in the field at 84 and grades solid on the model for Aidan O'Brien, though the sire's A/E of 0.71 and a trip record of 0/3 offer little encouragement. Among the weaker-graded runners, Dun Aonghasa is trained by Noel Meade whose A/E of 1.45 from 22 runs is worth noting, and Hydream and Satisfy My Soul share a sire A/E of 1.52 from 179 runs, though Satisfy My Soul returns from 147 days off and runs in first-time headgear. The evidence points clearly toward Big Cypress, with the principal uncertainty being a recent win rate of 0% shared across the whole field. --- Bath --- 19:15 Turf · 5f 160y · Good · 9 runners Wedgewood (stall 4) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, with a recent form that includes two wins in her last five starts despite having no record of success at Bath or on good going. Tony Carroll’s charge is rated at OR 49 and has been prominent in her races, suggesting she could be well-placed from stall four. Dion Baker (stall 8) also rates solidly with the model, boasting a similar recent win percentage to Wedgewood. Michael Wigham’s runner has shown some form on good going but lacks course experience. Porfin (stall 2), trained by Phil McEntee, is another solid contender who has managed to place in three of her last six runs and shows better form on this going compared to the other runners. Magnificent Mel (stall 1) may find it challenging given her lack of success at Bath or on good ground, but she does have a handy draw in stall one. Jackie Brown (stall 7), making her first start after a long absence, and Rokuni (stall 9), wearing headgear for the first time, both carry weak model grades despite showing some positive sire signals. Payforanother Daay (stall 3) and Coco Hill (stall 5) have poor records at this course and on good going, while Symbol Of Hope (stall 6) has a decent record overall but faces stronger competition here. --- Clonmel --- 19:20 Hurdle · 2m 3f 61y · Good · 6 runners Farren Glory looks to be the standout contender in this Clonmel hurdle race, rated strongly by the model at an official rating of 141. Trainer Gordon Elliott has been particularly successful with runners in similar races (A/E 1.53 on 109), and Farren Glory’s recent form, while not showing a win, benefits from his connections’ proven track record. Mighty Tom, despite returning after a long absence of 607 days, is rated solid by the model, though trainer Ben Harvey has underperformed in similar races (A/E 0.32 on 37). Thecompanysergeant and Crohan Lady are both rated moderately, with Crohan Lady showing some recent form with a 20% win rate. King Of Kingsfield and Encanto Bruno round out the field but are viewed as weaker contenders by the model, despite their held-up running styles potentially offering no clear advantage in this race. --- Doncaster --- 19:30 Turf · 7f 213y · Good To Firm · 13 runners Cavolo Nero (James Ferguson / Daniel Muscutt) emerges as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model assessment, rated at a strong grade with an official rating of 85. The horse’s prominent running style from stall 1 could give it an advantage early on, though its record on good to firm going is modest (0/1). Sailthisshipalone (Ivan Furtado / Jason Hart) and Bowood (Ivan Furtado / Elle-May Croot), both rated solid by the model despite their weaker form records, present significant challenges. Sailthisshipalone’s front-runner style from stall 12 might secure an uncontested lead, while Bowood's record course performance (1/4) and better recent won percentage (40%) are notable. City Of Kings (Ian Williams / S D Bowen), despite a long absence of over three years, could pose a danger with his prominent running style from stall 2 and decent track form (trip 1/3). Tilted Kilt (William Knight / Marco Ghiani) and Canvas (Scott Dixon / Kieran O'Neill) are also solid contenders, though their records on the going and trip are less impressive. The remaining runners, including Talis Evolvere, It'sneverjustone, Rumba Numba, Mr Mistoffelees, Intrusively, Miletus, and Cadarn, have weaker model ratings and form lines that suggest they may struggle to compete at the top level in this field. --- Goodwood --- 19:37 Turf · 1m · Good To Soft · 9 runners Cristo heads the model's assessment for Richard Hannon, graded strong despite a winless recent run and carrying a record of 0/1 on today's good to soft and 0/4 at the mile — the model's confidence rests on the rating rather than obvious form indicators, which makes this one to examine with some care. Jakarta arrives as the highest-rated runner on official figures at OR 78, has a course win to his name from two visits, and the sire's A/E of 1.30 on a reasonable sample is a useful positive, though trainer A/E sits just below par and the model grades him solid rather than strong. Rising Force is the most interesting pace angle: a genuine front-runner who has won 40% of his recent starts, goes to post with a perfect 1/1 record on this going, and from stall 2 looks well placed to control matters — the sire A/E of 0.47 is a drag, but the combination of form, going record and likely uncontested lead gives him genuine claims. Asteverdi has the most extensive trip record of any runner here at 2/14, and his 2/5 on good to soft is the deepest going-form in the field, though the model is no more than solid on him and a recent run of 0% winners tempers enthusiasm. City Of God and Port Erin are rated weak by the model — the former is notable for a trainer A/E of precisely 0.00 from 24 qualifying runs, a striking figure — while Canopus's connections (trainer A/E 1.63, sire A/E 1.62) are the most potent in the race by that measure, even if the model itself is lukewarm and the form figures are thin. --- Fairyhouse --- 19:44 Turf · 1m 1f 190y · Good · 16 runners She's Ideal (Paul W Flynn / Reese Holohan) is rated as one of the stronger runners by the Notebook’s model with a very strong grade, despite having no recent wins to show for herself. Her OR of 57 and prominent running style from stall 7 suggest she could be well-placed early on. Sweet Baby Zou (Joseph Patrick O'Brien / J M Sheridan) is also highly regarded, with an OR of 64 and a solid record in similar races, particularly noteworthy given her recent form at 20%. Amavasya (M C Grassick / W J Lee), though coming off a long absence, has shown consistency under this trainer, who outperforms expectations. Medieval Night (Denis Gerard Hogan / Chris Hayes) and Ella's Gold (Matthew J Smith / Robbie Colgan) both have moderate ratings but lack recent form or strong records in similar conditions. Master Garvey (Joseph Murray / Wesley Joyce), despite a low OR of 40, has struggled on this going and trip, making him less likely to challenge. Cuckaloo Hill (M Flannery / Siobhan Rutledge) and Onyeisi (Karl Thornton / Ben Coen) also have moderate ratings but face similar issues with their records. Tara Na Ri (Noel Meade / S Coen), Coul Dore (W R Crawford / Leigh Roche), Barretstown (Conor O'Dwyer / Jack Cleary), Hiltons Pass (John O'Donoghue / R M Mulligan), Captain Ciano (T G McCourt / J J G Ryan), Lust (Conor Maxwell / R Whearty), and Kilgharrahs Love (Thomas Cleary / Rory Cleary) all have weaker ratings, with poor records or long absences that make them less likely to pose a serious threat. --- Bath --- 19:50 Turf · 5f 160y · Good · 9 runners Sisters In The Sky heads the model's assessments at strong, and her record of 4 wins from 39 starts at this trip gives her a tangible course-and-distance profile, though the model's confidence has to be squared against a recent run of outs and a 0-from-9 record on today's good going. Spirited Dancer is rated solid by the model, and is the one runner who can point to a win on the going (1/2) as well as a course win (1/3), making that record at least modestly encouraging relative to most in this field. Little Miss Magic also grades solid, and the sire's A/E of 1.45 from a meaningful 89-run sample is a reasonable pointer from connections, though her 0/3 on the going tempers that somewhat. Port Hedland's trainer carries a 1.47 A/E from 26 similar races, which is worth noting, but the model is no more than moderate on him and his seven runs on this going have brought no wins. Ken Brulee is rated weak by the model despite a recent 20% strike rate and a win on good ground (1/2), so there is a mild tension between the model's view and some of the raw numbers there. Addmann returns from a long absence of 228 days with a blank record in each of the relevant conditions, and is among those the model is least interested in. --- Clonmel --- 19:55 Hurdle · 2m 3f 61y · Good · 17 runners Ned In The Park looks to be one of the stronger runners in this Clonmel hurdle over 2m 3f 61y on good going, rated at OR 109 by the Notebook's model. With a recent won percentage of 20% and a trainer signal that slightly exceeds expectations (A/E 1.41), he has form to back up his rating. His prominent running style could see him in contention throughout, though it remains to be seen if he can handle an uncontested lead. Coded Welder is another strong contender with a model grade of 'strong', but his trainer signal falls short (A/E 0.32), and recent form has been unplaced. Churchwarden also grades strongly at OR 109, though the yard’s overall performance is notably above average (A/E 2.10). However, with no recent wins in similar races, he may need to improve on his last run. Inthenickoftime returns after a long absence of 167 days and carries an OR of 105; while the model rates him solidly, his sire signal is neutral (A/E 0.79), suggesting no particular edge in this class. The Monkey Pole and Le Diablo both grade as 'solid' but lack recent wins, with trainer signals indicating mixed form for their connections. Global Skies at OR 94 is rated moderately by the model despite a poor sire signal (A/E 0.24). Hidalgo Des Mottes and Takarengo are seen as weaker options, both handicapped at lower ratings of OR 88 and 98 respectively, with no recent wins to support their chances. Boujee and Stumblin In return after even longer absences (266 days and 237 days), carrying ORs of 98 each. Both have weak model grades but could benefit from fresh form. Stonecarthy, In For The Night, Mister Vic, Portarlington, Penny Jar, and Speakasyoufind are all rated as weaker runners by the Notebook's model, with no recent wins to suggest they can upset the stronger contenders. --- Doncaster --- 20:05 Turf · 6f 2y · Good To Firm · 15 runners Betties Bay heads this field on the model, which rates her strongly despite a sire A/E of just 0.30, and her recent form is striking — an 80% strike rate puts her well clear of most rivals on current momentum; she breaks from stall 13 and her front-running style will set the terms, with no obvious rival to dispute the lead early. The question about her is the going: she is 0/3 on good to firm, though she does hold a trip record of 2/10 over six furlongs. Novello Lad also earns a strong model grade and brings considerably more experience to bear, with a going record of 2/12 on today's ground and a trip record of 4/22 that speaks to his consistency at six furlongs, while his sire A/E of 1.27 on a robust sample is a positive for connections; drawn in stall 2, he races held-up and will need a clear run. Among the solid-rated quartet, Papa Cocktail catches the eye on course and going figures — 3/13 on good to firm and 4/26 over the trip — and his trainer and sire both post A/E figures above 1.0 on meaningful samples, though a recent run of 0% winners is a flag; Lord Bertie's trip record of 4/21 and a sire A/E of 2.30 keep him relevant from stall 14. Of the remainder, Smart Vision has the form figures on this going (2/7) and over the trip (5/25) that stand out amongst the weaker-graded runners, but the model is unimpressed, and Mythical Phoenix and Media Darling both return from long absences, making their participation something of an unknown quantity. --- Goodwood --- 20:12 Turf · 1m 3f 218y · Good To Soft · 9 runners Salamanca City is the model's pick here, grading strong in a field where everyone else sits at solid or below, and James Fanshawe's yard is running above expectation with a trainer A/E of 1.18 from a meaningful sample of 23 similar races; a record of 1/5 on good to soft is modest, but the form shows a 20% recent strike rate and a prominent running style from stall 6 should keep connections happy at this trip. The main threat on ratings is Adjuvant, who holds the highest official mark in the field at OR 81 and has a solid record at this trip (2/17) and on this going (1/4), though the model is only moderate on the horse, a blank recent record, and a course record of 0/5 are not encouraging; the addition of first-time headgear is worth noting as a wildcard. Sixpack, solid on the model at OR 78, brings a strong trip record of 3/13 wins from a decent sample and a 20% recent strike rate, though the sire A/E of 0.85 is slightly subpar and a record of 0/2 both at this course and on this going tempers the case. Dancing Tiger is worth a mention as a danger: Roger Teal's yard posts an impressive trainer A/E of 1.63 from 32 runs, the horse has won on this going (1/1) and won one of two at the course, and a prominent running style could play well from stall 8. Must Believe and Love Is Golden both carry first-time headgear and recent 40% strike rates, but Love Is Golden returns from an absence of over three years and George Baker's yard posts a weak trainer A/E of 0.53 from 68 runs for Must Believe; both represent questions rather than answers. --- Fairyhouse --- 20:19 Turf · 1m 1f 190y · Good · 17 runners Copper Craft and Cleopatra's Needle share the model's highest grade in what is a wide-open affair at the bottom of the handicap ladder. Copper Craft, prominent from stall 9 for Andrew Oliver and W J Lee, carries the strong model rating without any winning form on this going (0/3) or over the trip (0/3), so the case rests squarely on the model's assessment rather than proven course-and-distance credentials. Cleopatra's Needle holds an official rating of 50 and that same strong model grade, though a record of 0/18 on good going is a notable drag on confidence, and trainer H Rogers runs at 0.84 A/E over a 52-run sample — not a compelling support act. Dropping to solid model territory, Deuteronomy is the most experienced route-finder in the field with a trip record of 4/26 and 2/19 on good going, giving him a legitimate profile as a genuine contender from stall 16, even if his recent form shows no wins. Alto Sax is worth noting for a different reason: trainer Peter Fahey posts a striking A/E of 2.10 from 57 runners in similar races, and the horse has a course record of 1/2 and 2/11 on this going — a quietly persuasive set of figures for a runner rated only OR 44. In The Minus (OR 57) has 1/8 on good going and Ben Coen in the saddle, which keeps him in the conversation, while Captain Con, rated 59 and the joint-highest official mark in the field, is rated only moderate by the model and trainer Noel Meade's A/E of 0.54 from 21 qualifiers here does nothing to elevate him. Several runners in the bottom half of the market come back from long absences — Albatala (407 days), Maker's Mark, Milverton and La Campanella among them — and their collective lack of recent form and weak model grades leave the realistic interest concentrated in the top half of the card. --- Bath --- 20:25 Turf · 1m 2f 37y · Good · 14 runners Rajbello (Richard Hughes) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, with an official rating of 55 and a trainer signal that slightly exceeds expectations at 1.44 on 26 recent runs. Drawn in stall 8, Rajbello typically adopts a held-up racing style, which should allow him to conserve energy before making his move late in the race. Mali Star (Jack Channon) is also rated strongly by the model and shares similar attributes with an official rating of 53; however, her record on this going and trip is poor at 0/2 for both conditions. Atalanta Mist (Marcus Tregoning), though solidly rated, has a less impressive trainer signal at 0.64 on 27 runs and a modest sire performance at 1.14 on 22 runs. Shirakawa (Eve Johnson Houghton) is another solid contender with an official rating of 55 but lacks recent form wins at 0%. Maryland Star (Dean Ivory), New Objective (K Frost), Ethereal Charm (Daisy Hitchins), Castlekeely (James Owen), Three Builders (William Muir), Elora Prince (Adrian Wintle), Skyolaire (Seamus Mullins), Emerald Coast (Hugo Palmer), Us Officer (Tom Dascombe), and A Daughters Love (David Flood) are all rated moderately or weakly by the model, with varying levels of form and records that do not suggest they pose a significant threat to the top contenders. --- Clonmel --- 20:30 Hurdle · 2m 6f 90y · Good · 19 runners Where Are You Now (E Bolger / Peter Smithers) is rated strongly by the model with an official rating of 97, backed by a solid sire signal of 1.18 on 77 runs. The horse's prominent running style could be advantageous in this field. Fire Coral (S Curling / Philip Donovan), also strong on the model at OR 89, returns from a long absence of 252 days but has shown form with a recent win rate of 40%. Zolpharine (John Patrick Ryan / Mr H E Sexton) is another strong contender with an official rating of 85 and impressive sire and trainer signals at 1.70 and 1.48 respectively, along with a front-runner style that could see her take the early lead. Spellacy's Cross (James M Barcoe / Reserve 2), rated solid by the model at OR 82, has shown consistency with a recent win rate of 0%. It’s Time Again (David Barry / Liam McKenna) and Oogum Boogum (David Kenneth Budds / Mr C P Millar), both moderate on the model at OR 90, have sire signals that are below expectations. Queen Kulina (Eoin Griffin / Ricky Doyle) is rated moderately with an official rating of 78 but has no recent wins. Lily Milan (Paul Stephen Kiely / Reserve 1) and Last Note (C Collins / Mr Ben Harvey), both moderate on the model, have sire signals around 1.04 and trainer signals below expectations. Three County Star (Brian Mortell / C M Hogan) and Nashville Notions (Paul Stephen Kiely / Mr Liam Quinlan), also rated moderately at OR 80 and 91 respectively, lack recent form with no wins in their last runs. Spellacy's Cross and Zolpharine present as the chief dangers given their strong ratings and signals. The long absences of Fire Coral and Rizedda (Henry De Bromhead / M P O'Connor) could be a concern despite their moderate ratings. --- Doncaster --- 20:40 Turf · 1m 2f 43y · Good To Firm · 10 runners The model rates five runners as solid here, with little to separate them on its assessment, though the handicapper gives Domination and Battosai a marginal edge at OR 72. Domination is arguably the most compelling composite case: Harriet Bethell's yard carries a trainer A/E of 1.84 from 20 runners in similar conditions, the sire side is less encouraging at 0.70, but Domination has won one from three at this trip and a 20% recent strike rate stands out when every other runner in the field has returned zero from recent outings. Faeberon is interesting despite a blank recent record — the Crisford yard posts a strong 1.92 A/E from 27 qualifying runs, sire signal is positive at 1.29, and first-time headgear adds an unknown variable that can cut either way. Battosai has yet to win in three attempts at the trip, and Dryburgh has a going record of 0/2 on today's surface alongside a sire A/E of just 0.48, which makes either difficult to prefer over the principals. Madjid's sire figure of 2.25 is the most striking number on the sheet but rests on only 21 runs, so warrants tempered confidence; Turtle Reef returns from a 160-day absence for a trainer whose A/E sits at 0.72, and the model is weak on both, leaving the stronger form claims with the top five. --- Bath --- 21:00 Turf · 1m 2f 37y · Good · 10 runners Man Is King (David Flood / Josephine Gordon) stands out as one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at 56 with a recent win rate of 40%. His record on this course is solid with two wins from four starts, and he has shown consistency on good going, winning once in eleven attempts. Drawing stall seven, Man Is King is likely to take an uncontested lead, which could be advantageous given his front-running style. Galactic Glow (J Tickle / Taylor Fisher) is rated moderately by the model at 53, with a strong trainer signal of 1.19 based on 54 runs. However, he lacks recent form and has no wins from seventeen starts on good going. Revich (Adrian Wintle / Finley Marsh), also rated moderately at 59, shows promise with three wins from twenty-one starts on good ground, though his recent record is less impressive. Nuptown Girl (Ian Williams / Rob Hornby) and Douglas Dc (Tony Carroll / Gina Mangan) are both rated moderately but lack recent form or course success. City Escape (Nikki Evans / Darragh Keenan), Four Fifty (H Ryall / Tom Queally), Crimson Road (John Flint / William Carson), Moonlit Cloud (Dean Ivory / Thomas Greatrex), and Bobby Dassler (Barry T Murphy / William Cox) are all rated weakly by the model, with limited form or course records to support their chances. ================================================ 2026-06-06 ================================================ --- Punchestown --- 13:15 Hurdle · 2m 100y · Good · 5 runners Switch From Diesel looks to be the standout contender in this class 4 hurdle race at Punchestown over 2 miles and 100 yards on good going. The Notebook's model rates him strongly with an official rating of 125, backed by a solid trainer signal (A/E 1.14) and recent form that includes two wins for every ten starts. Magico is rated solid by the model despite lacking an official rating; he benefits from a strong yard signal (A/E 2.03) and races with a held-up style, which could see him close late if left unchallenged early on. Playtime carries a lower official mark of 119 but faces stiff competition from Switch From Diesel. Saporetti and The First Turn are both rated weak by the model; neither has shown consistent form or strong connections to pose a significant threat in this field. --- Doncaster --- 13:20 Turf · 6f 2y · Good To Firm · 16 runners The model rates both Moonhall Lass and Candy Warhol as the strongest runners in the field, though the evidence behind each presents a rather different picture. Moonhall Lass, trained by James Owen whose A/E of 2.62 from 20 runners is a genuinely striking figure, has won 40% of her recent starts, goes 1/2 on today's going, and breaking from stall 2 her front-running style could see her dictate matters early on a six-furlong track. Run This Way (stall 7) also merits model respect and matches that 40% recent strike rate, carrying a formidable trip record of 8/38 at this distance, though Paul Midgley's trainer A/E of 0.78 is a mild drag on confidence and the 0/4 record on good to firm is a note of caution. Candy Warhol arrives OR 59 — the highest official rating in the field — with Scott Dixon's trainer A/E a healthy 1.58, but a 0/5 record on this going and 0/11 at the trip are harder to set aside, and the model's strong grade sits in some tension with those figures. The solid-graded Instant Bond is worth including: a 1/1 record on today's going and 1/3 at the trip are small samples but perfectly aligned, and he too is a front-runner, meaning the early pace scenario with two or three prominent types from low stalls bears watching. Bibendum for Julie Camacho (trainer A/E 1.30) gets a solid model rating, holds a 1/3 record on this going, but races from stall 15 with a held-up style in a race that may be run to suit those on the pace. Of the remainder, Hurstwood's trainer Peter Niven posts a striking A/E of 3.09 from 29 runners, and a 5/12 record on good to firm is substantive, though the model is only moderate and recent form shows no wins. The weight of the model evidence sits with Moonhall Lass and her connections, with the early-pace advantage from stall 2 an additional concrete factor. --- Epsom --- 13:30 Turf · 7f 3y · Good To Soft · 8 runners Never So Brave (Andrew Balding/Oisin Murphy) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at 116 with a recent won percentage of 60%. The horse's record on good to soft going stands at 0/2, but her form suggests she remains competitive. Alcantor (Joseph Patrick O'Brien/Dylan Browne McMonagle) is also notable, with a solid model grade and a held-up running style from stall 7. Poet Master (K R Burke/S H James), Ten Bob Tony (Ed Walker/Kieran Shoemark), and Witness Stand (Dr Richard Newland/Billy Loughnane), despite their weaker model grades, could pose threats given their recent form and records on the going and trip. Golden Mind (Richard Fahey/Billy Garritty), Chicago Critic (J P Murtagh/Ben Coen), and Balmacara (Eve Johnson Houghton/Charles Bishop) round out the field but appear less likely to challenge for top honours based on their ratings and form. --- Musselburgh --- 13:40 Turf · 5f 1y · Good · 8 runners Classy Clarets and Wee Mary share the model's strongest rating here, and the pick between them is genuinely tight. Classy Clarets, prominent from stall 4, holds a 20% recent strike rate and the model rates the Jardine runner among the stronger in the field, though a record of 1/12 on this going tempers enthusiasm slightly; Wee Mary, trained by Jim Goldie whose yard runs at an A/E of 1.25 across a substantial 374-race sample, carries the same model grade but has drawn a blank in recent starts. The most straightforward case for upset comes from Albegone — rated highest on OR at 59 and boasting a record of 9/68 at the trip as well as 2/9 at the course — though the model is only solid on the Tim Easterby runner and a recent winning rate of 0% is a drag on the case. Wrestling Revenue is weak on the model but Ben Haslam's yard punches well above expectation at A/E 1.74, and the sire line signals (2.32) are notably strong for a runner the model would otherwise dismiss. --- Worcester --- 13:45 Chase · 2m 4f · Good · 4 runners She Is For Me Boys (Jamie Snowden / Gavin Sheehan) is rated solid by the model with an official rating of 109, making her one of the stronger runners in this class 4 chase over 2m 4f on good going. Laffer Curve (Dan Skelton / Harry Skelton), also graded solid by the model despite a lower OR of 101, benefits from strong form signals with his trainer and sire both performing above expectations in similar races. Charity Barnum (Dermot Day / Sean Bowen) and Miss Denver (Nigel Twiston-Davies / Sam Twiston-Davies), both rated weak by the model, lack recent winning form and have lower ORs of 101 and 84 respectively. All runners adopt a held-up racing style, which could lead to an uncontested early pace if none take an early initiative. --- Punchestown --- 13:50 Chase · 2m 50y · Good · 10 runners Hashtag Pretender (B Connell / Liam McKenna), with a strong model rating despite a long absence of nearly nine months, stands out as one of the form horses in this class 3 chase over two miles and fifty yards on good going. The Notebook's model rates him strongly, and his recent won percentage, albeit limited, suggests he can perform well when in contention. Park That (E Bolger / Mr A P Kelly) also receives a strong model rating but has struggled to win recently, with no wins from four starts under similar conditions. War Correspondent (R P Cody / P J Cody), despite his moderate model grade and lack of recent form, could be a danger if he can secure a prominent position early on. Be Fierce (T M Walsh / Gavin Brouder) and Indiana Jones (M F Morris / Alan O'Sullivan) both offer some value with their moderate ratings and recent winning strikes, albeit against lower-rated opposition. Birdie Or Bust (Henry De Bromhead / M P O'Connor), despite a moderate model grade, could be well-handled by Kieren Buckley if she can get into contention from her running style. The remaining runners, while not rated as highly by the model, still pose potential dangers given their connections and recent form patterns. --- Doncaster --- 13:55 Turf · 6f 111y · Good To Firm · 7 runners Jazz Queen heads this race on the Notebook's model, rated solid where the majority of the field cluster at moderate — though she has yet to win in three attempts at today's trip, and a held-up style means she will need things to fall right from stall 5. Among the moderate-rated group, Met Ball and Bayside View carry the most persuasive trainer signals, with K R Burke's yard running at an A/E of 1.54 from 42 comparable starts and Michael Bell's operation at 1.44 from 35, both comfortably above expectation. Rhodes Runner is harder to enthuse about: Ralph Beckett's trainer A/E sits at a notably low 0.39 from 44 runs in this sphere, and the runner's own record reads 0/1 on today's going and 0/1 at the trip. Cash Cove is assessed weakly by the model and warrants no particular emphasis. --- Epsom --- 14:05 Turf · 1m 113y · Good To Soft · 9 runners Shes Perfect (Charlie Fellowes / Kieran Shoemark) is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model with a rating of 110, having shown consistent form recently with a win rate of 33%. Drawn in stall 8 and with a prominent running style, she could be well-placed to contest the lead. Pacific Mission (Andrew Balding / Colin Keane) also rates highly on the model at OR 109, though her record suggests less experience on good to soft ground and over this trip, which may be a slight concern. Arisaig (Charlie Johnston / Jamie Spencer), despite being moderate in the model's view with an OR of 102, has a solid record at the distance but is drawn wide in stall 6 and tends to race held-up. Breckenbrough (M Baratti / Oisin Murphy) returns after a long absence of 331 days and lacks recent form, though her prominent running style could see her make an impact if settled early. Pina Sonata (James Fanshawe / Daniel Muscutt), rated moderate at OR 103 with a strong win rate of 60%, is drawn in stall 1 and will likely take the lead from the start. Love Dynasty (Kevin Ryan / Billy Loughnane) also rates moderately with an OR of 96, boasting a recent win rate of 50% and a front-runner style that could see her challenge early. --- Musselburgh --- 14:15 Turf · 5f 1y · Good · 7 runners Furturra heads the model's assessment here, with the Notebook's model rating her as the strongest runner in the field and Tim Easterby's yard running at an A/E of 1.36 in similar races — though her record on today's good going reads 0/4 and she is yet to win over this trip in five attempts, so the evidence sits firmly with the stable rather than the form book. Tango Hotel is the model's next pick despite a sire figure of 0.77, with George Scott's operation carrying an A/E of 1.20 on a reasonable sample of 37; the trip record is limited to a single run. Turnstile runs for the same Easterby yard but the sire A/E of 0.41 from 44 runs is a dragging anchor, and Tree Wizard brings Archie Watson's solid 1.13 A/E alongside a sire figure of 1.24, though the recent form across both camps shows nothing in the win column. On the whole, this looks a race where stable confidence and model positioning carry the main argument — the raw form offers little to separate the field. --- Worcester --- 14:20 Chase · 2m 7f · Good · 12 runners The Flying Poet (Olly Murphy / Sean Bowen) stands out as one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at 105 with a recent win rate of 40%. His front-running style could give him an advantage if he can establish an uncontested lead early. Hall Lane (Fergal O'Brien / Mr J Hogan), rated at 100 and with solid support from the model, has form on good going and is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who performs well above expectations in similar races. Jullou De Grissay (Charlie Longsdon / Mr James King) also rates as solid, though his sire and trainer signals are slightly below par. Axel Bleue (Mickey Bowen / James Bowen), rated at 103, has shown some recent form with a win rate of 20%, while Captain Boudet (David Pipe / Mr Rian Corcoran) is another moderate contender despite lacking recent wins. Redbridge Rambler (Martin Keighley / Mr Freddie Keighley) and Jongleur D'Etoiles (Neil Mulholland / Richie McLernon), both rated at 102 and 100 respectively, bring some potential as weaker runners with modest form signals. Gata Ban (Neil Mulholland / Mr D Johnston) is a weak runner but could benefit from his trainer's strong performance in similar races. The remaining horses are all rated lower by the model, making them less likely contenders for this race. --- Punchestown --- 14:25 Chase · 3m 157y · Good · 8 runners Da Capo Glory holds the only published official rating in the field at OR 126 and the Notebook's model rates him, Vicar Street, and Kainsbourg as the three solid runners in what is otherwise a moderate to weak handicap. Vicar Street carries the most compelling yard signal — Mullins' runners in similar races operate at an A/E of 1.38 from a substantial 235-run sample — though a 312-day absence after a long layoff is the obvious unknown, and the horse races prominently so will need to find its feet quickly. Kainsbourg brings a 40% recent strike rate and has the advantage of setting his own pace from the front, though the Elliott yard sits marginally below expectation (A/E 0.95) in this sphere, and the same absence caveat applies after 214 days off. Da Capo Glory, held up, has the clearest form reference with an official mark and the model's endorsement, even if a blank recent win record gives little encouragement about current conditions. --- Doncaster --- 14:30 Turf · 5f 3y · Good To Firm · 11 runners Rose Of Honour (stall 9) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, with a perfect recent form record at 100% and solid performance indicators across all conditions shown today. Her prominent running style suggests she can secure a good position from her draw, potentially dictating the race’s early tempo. Naana's Sparkle (stall 11) is rated solid by the model despite drawing widest; as a front-runner, she may find it challenging to establish an uncontested lead but could still be prominent if others engage in early pace battles. Toca Madera (stall 6), Paddy’s Day (stall 8), and Elegant Erin (stall 5) are all rated moderate or weaker by the model, though they have shown some recent form consistency. However, their held-up running styles may leave them vulnerable if Rose Of Honour sets a strong early pace. Baldomero (stall 2) has a decent record at this course and going but faces an uphill battle from a weak model grade. The remainder of the field, including Counsel, Intervention, Squealer, and Blinky, are rated weak by the model with limited form or records to support stronger claims. --- Epsom --- 14:40 Turf · 1m 4f 6y · Good To Soft · 6 runners Jan Brueghel makes the most compelling case on the available evidence: the Notebook's model rates him as one of the stronger runners in the field, he has won on this going and at this course and trip, and his recent strike-rate of 60% sits alongside an O'Brien yard that runs well above expectation in races of this nature (A/E 1.76 on 32). As a front-runner drawn in stall 1 with Lambourn also likely to press forward from stall 6, the early pace dynamic looks straightforward rather than a concern, and the uncontested lead is far from guaranteed. The chief market threat on official ratings is Calandagan — OR 130 the highest in the field — though the model is less enthusiastic, he returns from a 231-day absence, has been beaten at this course and on this going, and his sire's record in similar races (A/E 0.42 on 22) is a quiet dampener; F H Graffard's runners do travel with purpose, however, and that OR commands respect. The remaining O'Brien runners Lambourn and Illinois carry the yard's strike-rate advantage but the model is lukewarm on both, while Convergent's recent 80% strike-rate is an eye-catcher even if the model regards him as the least well-positioned in the ratings hierarchy. --- Musselburgh --- 14:50 Turf · 7f 15y · Good · 9 runners Zubaru heads the market on the model's assessment, graded strong by the Notebook and carrying an OR of 83 — the highest mark in the field — alongside a recent strike rate of 40%, which stands out in this company. As the lone front-runner from stall 9, he is likely to go unchallenged for the lead, which could prove a meaningful tactical asset over this seven-furlong trip where he has won twice from eight starts. Mae Amor is the model's next best, rated solid, and her record on today's good going reads 2/7, giving her a concrete claim if she can land a blow from off the pace for Rebecca Menzies; the sire A/E of 2.32 from 57 runs is a notable supporting detail, though the trainer's A/E of 0.65 on a substantial sample of 52 is a mild check on enthusiasm. Wreck It Ryley holds a fair record on this going at 3/14 and a trip record of 5/37 that speaks to genuine effectiveness at the distance, though the model is only moderate on him and he sits 3lb above Mae Amor in the weights. Jim Goldie's Abduction is weak on the model despite a trainer A/E of 1.25 across a large sample of 374 qualifying runs, and a trip record of 7/58 demonstrates persistence rather than dominance; stablemate Yaaser has the most compelling course record in the field at 3/10 and has won 6 times from 26 runs on this going, but the model rates him weak and his OR of 65 reflects a significant official rating gap to the principals. --- Worcester --- 14:55 Chase · 2m 4f · Good · 10 runners Majestic Moment stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, rated at OR 98 with a recent win rate of 40%. A front-runner by style, he could secure an uncontested lead if none of his rivals challenge him early on. La Quarite also rates highly with the model despite her long absence of 270 days, carrying an OR of 91 and having shown some form recently with a win rate of 20%. Applicationofcash is another contender to watch, rated at OR 93 and boasting a similar recent win percentage of 40%, though his sire's performance in similar races is below par. Culligran, despite being rated lower at OR 86, has a long absence of 327 days but could still pose a danger if he returns to form. Noble Recall rounds out the moderate runners with an OR of 74 and a recent win rate of 20%, though his absence of 253 days is concerning. The remaining horses, including Jiair Madrik, Holy Legend, Song Of Earth, Pooroldmackley, and The Moonlight Man, are rated as weaker by the model, with none showing particularly strong form or ratings to suggest they can upset the stronger contenders. --- Punchestown --- 15:00 Chase · 3m 157y · Good · 17 runners Sammy Smart, trained by Thomas Gibney and rated strongly by the Notebook's model at OR 110, looks to be one of the form horses in this class 4 chase over 3m 157y on good going. With a recent won percentage of 20% and an A/E trainer rating that underperforms slightly, Sammy Smart is likely to rely on his held-up running style to find gaps late in the race. Aclass, rated strongly by the model at OR 105 with a strong sire record, could pose a significant threat if he maintains his prominent position throughout. Tiffiny's Girl, also rated strongly and trained by W J Burke, has similar credentials and might benefit from her recent form and prominent running style. North Of Nashville, rated solidly by the model at OR 98, brings consistency with a recent won percentage of 20% but will likely need to secure a good position early due to his held-up approach. Pourquoi Poi, rated moderately at OR 96, has strong trainer and sire ratings and could be a danger if he can find a clear path late in the race. Reve Inoui, also rated moderately at OR 91 with a moderate sire rating, might struggle given his poor recent form but could still pose an early challenge. A Year Older, trained by Karl Thornton and rated moderately at OR 92, stands out as a potential front-runner who could set a strong pace from the start. Difficult Decision, rated moderately at OR 92 with no trainer record available, lacks proven form but might surprise if he can secure a good position early. Le Grand Vert, rated moderately at OR 97 with a strong sire rating, has recent form to support his chances and could be dangerous late in the race. Il Silenzio, returning from a long absence of 305 days, is rated moderately but will need to prove his fitness quickly after such time off. --- Doncaster --- 15:05 Turf · 1m 6f 115y · Good To Firm · 6 runners Study Of Words holds the strongest case on the model's assessment and carries the highest official rating in the field at OR 95, making this a race in which Appleby's hold-up runner has a clear edge on ratings — though the one blemish is a winless record on today's good-to-firm going. The chief rival on the model is Gaelic Approach, rated solid, who brings a perfect record on this going (1/1) and has won twice from three starts at the trip; as one of two front-runners in the field alongside Siam Ruby, the pair could set up an uncontested pace that suits their own running styles, though Gaelic Approach's trainer A/E of 0.61 over 77 runs in similar races is a persistent note of caution. Siam Ruby's trainer Ralph Beckett posts an encouraging A/E of 1.26, but the model is only moderate on her and the sire A/E of 0.29 on a 35-run sample is a drag; the remainder — Lopeo, Any Which Way, and Killer Whale — are all model-weak, and while their trainers' A/E figures are respectable, the form evidence does not promote any of them to the first rank here. --- Epsom --- 15:15 Turf · 5f · Good · 20 runners Lexington Blitz (Robert Cowell / Edward Greatrex) is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook’s model with a rating of very strong at OR 97. The horse has shown consistent form recently with a win rate of 40%, and despite having no wins on this course or going, it boasts a solid record overall, particularly over the trip. Drawn in stall 10, Lexington Blitz is a front-runner who could secure an uncontested lead early on. Kinswoman (William Haggas / Tom Marquand), rated strong by the model at OR 91, also presents a significant threat with recent form of 60% and solid ratings across similar conditions. Cindy Lou Who (Tony Carroll / William Carson) is another front-runner in stall 12, carrying an OR of 94 and showing moderate form with a win rate of 40%. However, her record on this going is less impressive at 0/5, which could be a concern. King Of Light (Stuart Williams / Marco Ghiani), rated solid at OR 91, has shown some promise but lacks recent wins, with only a 20% win rate and a modest record over the trip. The presence of several front-runners like Another Baar in stall 4 and Star Chorus in stall 1 could lead to a fast early pace, potentially affecting those who prefer to be held up. Dyonisos (Ian Williams / D Egan) and Betsen (Tony Carroll / Clifford Lee), both rated moderate at OR 85 and OR 86 respectively, have mixed records but could pose dangers if they find the right position in the race. Ziggy's Triton (David O'Meara / Jason Hart) and Dream Composer (Tony Carroll / Dougie Costello), despite being rated weak by the model, both have some course form that might give them an edge over less experienced runners on this going. --- Musselburgh --- 15:28 Turf · 7f 15y · Good · 8 runners La Brodeuse (Kevin Ryan / Kevin Stott) is rated strongly by the model at an official rating of 99, despite having no wins in her previous outing on a similar trip. With stall seven, she could find herself towards the rear early but has the class to be prominent late. Magic Basma (Kevin Ryan / Tom Eaves), also model-rated strong and carrying an OR of 103, boasts solid form on good going and at this distance, with two wins from eleven attempts. Her stall three draw allows for a more forward position. Figjam (Katie Scott / Pierre-Louis Jamin) is rated moderately but has shown promise recently, winning 20% of her races, and her record suggests she handles the ground well. Circe (Richard Hannon / Callum Rodriguez), despite being out of action for nearly six months, carries an OR of 94 and could pose a danger if able to settle into a good rhythm from stall eight. --- Worcester --- 15:33 NHF · 2m · Good · 9 runners Ultimately looks to be the standout contender in this class 5 novice hurdle at Worcester over two miles on good going. The Notebook’s model rates him strongly despite having no official rating, suggesting his form is impressive enough to warrant favouritism. Redbarn and Giant's Way are both rated solidly by the model, with Dan Skelton’s stable showing strong form through their sire record (A/E 1.19 on 227). Jonjo O’Neill’s Giant's Way also benefits from a consistent sire performance (A/E 1.19 on 227), making him a credible threat. Emerald Tir, while rated moderately by the model, has an intriguing trainer-sire combination that typically performs well above expectations (trainer A/E 1.30 on 32 and sire A/E 1.03 on 83). Delusionofgrandeur and Storm Dudley round out the top contenders with moderate ratings, though neither boasts particularly strong connections or form signals. Master Tim and C’Est Pour Moi are rated weak by the model, with both trainers underperforming relative to expectations (Tom Symonds A/E 0.32 on 24 and Nigel Twiston-Davies A/E 0.85 on 36), making them less likely options despite their experience in similar races. --- Punchestown --- 15:40 Hurdle · 2m 100y · Good · 23 runners Easter Bonnet is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, having shown a solid recent form with a win percentage of 50%, despite a long absence of 202 days. Trained by W.P. Mullins and ridden by Miss A McGuinness, Easter Bonnet’s front-running style could give her an advantage if she secures an uncontested lead early on. Rosie's Wings, also model-rated strong, boasts consistent form with a trainer signal above expectations (A/E 1.14) and a recent win percentage of 0%. Firebrand is another strong contender, with a similar model rating and prominent running style, though he too has been absent for an extended period (198 days). Superficial and Cailin Deas are both rated strongly by the model despite lacking official ratings; Superficial’s recent form includes two wins from five starts. Shing Shilla is solidly rated but comes with a long absence of 225 days, which could be a concern. The weaker runners like Ferrybank and Ludus Magnus have less compelling form and higher trainer or sire signals below expectations, making them less likely contenders in this competitive field. --- Doncaster --- 15:45 Turf · 7f 6y · Good To Firm · 12 runners Shipbourne (Ralph Beckett / Rossa Ryan) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, despite a long absence of 187 days. With an official rating of 85, recent form showing a win percentage of 50%, and a record that includes a victory at this trip in just one run, Shipbourne could be primed for a strong performance from stall 9. Flight Control (K Frost / William Pyle) is also rated very strongly by the model with an official rating of 82, boasting recent form with a win percentage of 50% and a record that includes wins on good to firm going and at this trip. As a front-runner from stall 10, Flight Control could secure a prominent position early on. Binmalk (Simon and Ed Crisford / William Buick), though rated moderately by the model, has sire form above expectations with an A/E ratio of 1.20 based on 27 runs, which adds some intrigue to their chances from stall 6. The remaining runners, including Blue Icon (Richard Fahey / David Nolan) and Deadline (Warren Greatrex / Sean Levey), have weaker model ratings and less compelling form or connections to suggest they will be genuine threats in this field. --- Epsom --- 16:00 Turf · 1m 4f 6y · Good To Soft · 14 runners Benvenuto Cellini heads the Notebook's model assessments as the very strong-rated pick in what looks a genuinely competitive mile-and-a-half heat, and the A P O'Brien runner has a compelling profile to back that up: a perfect record at the trip (1/1), a 60% recent strike rate, and the powerful trainer A/E of 1.76 from a 32-run sample, with Ryan Moore taking the ride from stall 12 as the likely pace-setter. Item, rated strong by the model and carrying the highest official mark in the field at OR 117, arrives in the form of his life on a 100% recent strike rate for Andrew Balding, though the trainer's A/E of 0.92 is mildly below par and Colin Keane will need to coax a prominent runner home from stall 3. Maltese Cross is the other strong-rated runner and also holds a perfect trip record (1/1); William Haggas's operation is operating well above expectation (A/E 1.22 from 89 runs), and a recent 75% strike rate makes Tom Marquand's mount a serious candidate from stall 1. The chief concern around Benvenuto Cellini is the pace scenario — James J Braddock, Christmas Day, Bay Of Brilliance and Pierre Bonnard are all front-runners too, which could make for a contested early gallop rather than the easy lead a front-runner craves; James J Braddock is worth noting as a solid-rated runner though he has failed to win in two starts on this going (0/2). Christmas Day is a moderate model pick but carries the striking detail of a 2/2 record on good to soft, which at minimum confirms no going concerns, while Pierre Bonnard's 0/2 on the same surface is a credible mark against him. --- Musselburgh --- 16:10 Turf · 1m 208y · Good · 8 runners Haayimm makes the strongest case on the model's ratings — the Notebook's model grades him solidly above this field, Ed Bethell's yard runs at a healthy 1.88 A/E across a meaningful 23-runner sample, and a trip record of 1/3 gives at least some grounding at this distance. The pace scenario is worth noting: Blues And Royals, Strength Of Spirit and Pandemonium all carry front-running styles, which could set up a genuinely searching gallop for the prominently-raced Haayimm to aim at from stall 3. Strength Of Spirit is the principal danger in spite of the model rating her moderate — K R Burke's yard hits above expectation (1.38, 43 runs), she has course form of 1/1, and a going record of 1/3 on today's good ground is a concrete positive that the others largely cannot match. Pandemonium's recent 50% strike rate catches the eye, but the model is weak on her, she arrives in first-time headgear, and both her trip and going records read 0/1, leaving the form case rather thin. --- Worcester --- 16:15 Hurdle · 2m · Good · 8 runners Pioneer Pete heads this on both the model's assessment and official rating (OR 124), and the Jonjo O'Neill yard runs at expectation in similar races; a 20% recent strike rate from a prominent-racing type is a workmanlike but meaningful platform at this level. The model rates three runners solidly behind him: Miss Kingston (OR 118) and Molten Sea (OR 117) are the closest on official marks, though Ralph's yard carries an A/E of 0.68 on a reasonable sample which tempers the case for Miss Kingston, while O'Brien's record is virtually level-par on a large sample for Molten Sea. The most intriguing question mark is Little Lady Rock, who holds a solid model rating despite carrying no official mark — Lycett's yard beats expectation (A/E 1.22, though on only 20 runs), but a 316-day absence is the obvious caveat and recent form reads a blank. The remaining four runners are all graded weak by the model, carry no official ratings, and show 0% recent strike rates between them, leaving the evidence firmly concentrated at the top of the card. --- Punchestown --- 16:20 Hurdle · 2m 100y · Good · 24 runners Livio stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, trained by Willie Mullins with a proven record that includes an impressive win at this distance (record course 1/4). Navy Waters is another strong contender, boasting recent form with a 20% win rate and a prominent running style likely to see him race handily. Lizzie Twigg, also rated very strongly by the model, has a front-runner's profile and could secure an uncontested lead if she breaks well. Little Ginger, while not as highly rated, brings solid recent form with a 33% win rate and a held-up style that may see her finish strongly. Scotty Joe is solidly placed with consistent trainer and sire signals, though his recent form lacks wins. Alaskan View, despite being moderate-rated, benefits from first-time headgear and could pose an unexpected threat if it suits him. Mount Mandela returns after a long absence but carries strong trainer credentials; however, his recent winless streak and lack of runs raise questions about his readiness. Sestini rounds out the main contenders with a moderate rating and no glaring weaknesses in form or connections. --- Doncaster --- 16:25 Turf · 7f 6y · Good To Firm · 12 runners Desert Falcon makes the strongest case on the model's assessment, which rates him solid alongside a perfect course record (1/1) and a 40% recent strike rate; from stall 12 he is a confirmed front-runner, and while his record on good to firm reads 2/7, the positive trainer and sire A/E figures — 1.30 and 1.28 respectively off meaningful samples — lend the form context some weight. Billyjoh carries an equally solid model grade and benefits from the strongest trainer signal in the field (A/E 1.58 on 95 runs), with a course win to his name, though his record on this going is modest at 1/9 across 23 trips at the trip. Apotheosis is the third solid-rated runner and arrives with the most compelling connections: trainer A/E 1.92 on 27 and sire A/E 1.67 on 70 are both notably above expectation, and his trip record of 2/7 shows he gets the distance; a hold-up style from stall 8 leaves him more dependent on the pace scenario set by the front-runners. Khafiz, on the same OR of 96, is rated only moderate by the model, and a sire A/E of 0.48 on 40 runs is a meaningful drag on confidence, while Akkadian Thunder's 0/5 on this going is a clear negative flag despite his two course wins. Monsieur Bondy's 50% recent strike rate and 1/1 on this going catch the eye, but he returns from a 245-day absence and should be treated with appropriate caution. --- Hexham --- 16:30 Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y · Good · 10 runners Fine Point emerges as a strong contender in the Notebook's model assessment, rated at OR 98 with recent form showing two wins from ten starts (20%). Held-up running style suggests he can finish strongly after settling off the pace. Cuillin Ridge is another runner to watch, also graded strongly by the model and boasting similar recent win rates (OR 94). Susan Corbett’s stable has outperformed expectations with a trainer A/E ratio of 1.20 on 95 runs, adding weight to his chances. Byron Hill, rated solidly by the model at OR 97, benefits from Venetia Thompson’s strong yard form (trainer A/E 1.34 on 110), though he has yet to break his duck in recent outings. Malangen, despite a weak trainer signal, carries an impressive record course of 2/5 and solid form under good going conditions, making him a danger at OR 81. Rickety Gate, Ushuaia Dancer, My My My Delilah, C'Mon So, Road To Rosley, and Follow The Leader round out the field with less compelling ratings or recent form to support them. --- Epsom --- 16:40 Turf · 1m 2f 17y · Good To Soft · 11 runners Allegresse holds the highest official rating in the field at OR 93 and Andrew Balding's yard posts a strong A/E of 1.64 from 54 qualifying runs, though the model rates her only solid and her trip record of 0/2 is a mild flag at this 1m 2f 17y trip. Starlight Time is the one to anchor the analysis around: the model also rates her solid, she carries a perfect course record of 1/1 at Epsom, and a recent win-rate of 67% gives her strong form credentials, though returning from 212 days off is the obvious variable to weigh. Silver State completes a trio of solid-rated front-runners and is the cleanest profile on the going and trip, both at 1/1, which at least confirms she handles these conditions; she breaks from stall 2 and with Allegresse, Starlight Time, Lake Como and Folk Pageant all inclined to race prominently, the early-pace dynamic at Epsom's turning track is worth noting. Lake Como brings the strongest trainer signal of any runner — Boughey's A/E of 2.13 from 25 runs is notable — but two runs at the trip without a win temper that case. Of the moderate-rated horses, Hell Yeah He Did has a Beckett/Crouch combination that beats expectation and has won over the trip (1/3), though a 220-day absence makes him hard to assess with confidence. --- Musselburgh --- 16:45 Turf · 5f 1y · Good · 8 runners Kind Touch heads the model's assessment here despite a 261-day absence, carrying a solid model grade, a 50% recent strike rate, and a win from two runs at this trip — the long layoff is the one genuine question mark against an otherwise tidy profile. Major Neigh Sayer and Merlier both rate solid on the model and sit close behind: the former has course-and-distance form (1/3 at the trip, 1/4 on this going) and races prominently from stall 5, while Merlier — first-time headgear today — has a win from two runs at five furlongs and benefits from a sire A/E of 1.41, though that 0/1 record on good ground is a minor caveat. Merlier's front-running style from stall 4 could see him dictate against a field with no other confirmed leader — Major Neigh Sayer is prominent rather than a confirmed front-runner — which may suit or expose him depending on how the hood works. The rest of the field the model rates moderate to weak, with Arduis Invicta's 0/7 on this going making it hard to build a case despite a tidy trainer A/E and a perfect course record. --- Worcester --- 16:50 Hurdle · 2m 4f · Good · 8 runners Presenting Milan makes the most compelling case on the Notebook's model despite carrying a lower official rating (105) than several rivals — the model grades it strongly, the sire posts a healthy 1.11 A/E over a solid 53-run sample, and a 40% recent strike rate points to a horse in decent nick, though the 377-day absence is the obvious question mark. Trust House, the other runner the model rates strongly, is weighted considerably higher at OR 120 and benefits from Olly Murphy's operation, which beats expectations at A/E 1.31 across 78 runs in this type of contest; a 40% recent strike rate lends further substance. Castle Ivers sits highest in the ratings at OR 124 and the model views it as solid, with a sharp 60% recent won figure lending support, though with three front-runners in Presenting Milan, Trust House and Castle Ivers in the same field, how the pace duel unfolds over this two-and-a-half-mile trip may well be the race's defining dynamic. Oakley (model: solid, A/E 1.97 from 27 sire runs) is a quiet presence worthy of respect, while Continuance and the trio of model-weak runners — including Theatre Tom and Bertie B, both returning from very long absences — look to be second-tier on the evidence available. --- Punchestown --- 16:55 Hurdle · 2m 3f 55y · Good · 18 runners Petit Secret stands out as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook’s model assessment, particularly with a prominent running style that could see him assert an uncontested lead from the outset. W P Mullins’ charge has shown consistent form recently, winning 33% of his starts and wearing first-time headgear today, which might offer additional support. Gordon Elliott’s Brother Walfrid is also rated strongly by the model, though his recent record suggests he may need a step up in luck to challenge. Frankie's Freebie, trained by A Sexton, carries a moderate official rating and has a solid trainer signal, making him another contender worth considering. Angelo Dundee, under Henry De Bromhead’s guidance, also garners strong marks despite lacking an official rating, adding further depth to the leading contenders. Backinbusiness could pose a danger with his solid model grade, while Rosenborg and Minella Jackpot, both returning from long absences, introduce some uncertainty into the race. The remaining runners are generally rated as weaker by the model but still present potential dangers, especially those with held-up running styles like Forlio, Misery Hill, Ri Ra, Little Big John, Siofra Beag, and Vangaway, who may benefit from a strong finish if they can secure clear running late in the race. --- Doncaster --- 17:00 Turf · 7f 6y · Good To Firm · 13 runners Amelia's Joy (Michael Herrington / Sean Levey) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 63 with a recent win percentage of 40%. Despite having no wins on this trip (record trip 0/2), her front-running style from stall 10 could give her an advantage if she can establish early control. Mayo County (Julie Camacho / Ryan Sexton) also grades strongly, boasting a solid record course and going with two wins in five starts. Her held-up running style may see her close late, potentially benefiting from the strong pace set by Amelia's Joy. Singoura (Gemma Tutty / William Pyle), though yet to win at this track or on this going, has shown consistency in recent form with a solid trainer signal and could be competitive if she secures a good position. Super Hit (James Owen / Jason Watson) is another runner worth considering; despite her lack of wins recently, her strong performance record on the current going suggests she might run well from stall 13. Thapa Vc (Mark Rimell / Zac Lloyd), with a decent record course and going, could pose a danger if placed ideally from stall 8. Age Of Baroque (Jessica Macey / Lewis Edmunds) has a strong sire signal but lacks recent wins; her held-up style means she will need to find room late in the race. --- Hexham --- 17:05 Hurdle · 2m 48y · Good · 6 runners Sudbury Hill (Harry Derham/ Paul O'Brien) stands out as one of the stronger runners according to the model, despite lacking an official rating. With a solid trainer signal of 1.64 on 183, he has shown consistent performance in similar races. Mount Eden (S Slevin/J J Slevin), while rated moderately by the model, benefits from a strong sire signal at 1.21 over 324 runs, suggesting potential value. The remaining contenders—Tiny Riot, Cracking Anna, Steel Fixer, and Jambearee—all lack official ratings and recent wins, making them less likely threats despite their held-up running styles. --- Chepstow --- 17:10 Turf · 5f 16y · Good To Soft · 9 runners So Smart (G Harris / Cieren Fallon), rated strongly by the model at OR 60, is a notable contender given her record course of 1/10 and better form on this going with 1 win from 5 runs. Hidden Verse (Dr Richard Newland / Luke Morris) and Call Time (J S Moore / Taylor Fisher) both receive solid ratings from the model despite their modest trainer and sire signals, making them chief dangers. Some Nightmare (John O'Shea / David Probert), rated moderately with a strong course record of 6 wins from 21 runs, also poses a significant threat. Fletcher's Flight (Charlie Wallis / Joe Leavy) has shown some form on this going with 1 win from 5 runs but faces stronger opposition. The remaining runners, including Son Of Astar (Tony Carroll / Saffie Osborne), Tomarlo (Ollie Sangster / George Wood), Macarone (G Harris / Finley Marsh), and Pearl's Edge (C Mason / Gina Mangan) — the latter returning after a long absence of 210 days — are rated weaker by the model, though they cannot be entirely discounted. --- Musselburgh --- 17:15 Turf · 1m 2y · Good · 12 runners War Memorial is one of the stronger runners according to the model, with a solid official rating of 53 and a decent record at Musselburgh, having won once in two starts. Drawn in stall 10, he typically races from off the pace, which may suit his style if others take the early lead. Doon The Glen also rates highly, boasting an impressive trainer signal with Jim Goldie performing above expectations. Although he has no wins recently and lacks a strong record on good going, his prominent running style could see him in contention late. Monhammer, despite a long absence of 213 days, is rated solid by the model and benefits from a draw in stall 7 that may allow him to race handy. Nakatomi and Samra Star both lack recent form but have modest ratings; Samra Star's trainer Linda Perratt has underperformed recently, while Nakatomi faces an uphill battle without any wins on good going. Little Ted, despite his poor recent form, has a strong record at Musselburgh and on good ground, though he too races from off the pace. The remaining runners are rated weak by the model, with limited form or records to suggest they pose significant threats. --- Epsom --- 17:20 Turf · 1m 4f 6y · Good To Soft · 17 runners Regal Ulixes heads the Notebook's model rankings despite carrying only OR 98 into a field where several rivals hold higher official marks, and Andrew Balding's yard is operating at a trainer A/E of 1.64 from a substantial 54-race sample — that is a meaningful edge in comparable races; the prominent running style should suit him tracking the pace from stall 14. The chief complication for the model's pick is the sheer volume of front-runners in this field: Spinning Wheel (OR 102, stall 1) brings the highest official rating and a strong trip record of 2/5 winners alongside 2/3 on good to soft, and with the tactical advantage of stall 1 from the inside, James Doyle's mount looks well-placed to dictate if so chosen. Lord Melbourne is worth noting as a solid counter: Ralph Beckett's runner shows a course record of 2/3, a going record of 2/4 on today's ground, and a sire A/E of 1.93 from 22 runs — the combination of place-specific and going-specific evidence here is genuinely compelling, even if the model grades him only moderate. Night Breeze (OR 91, Ian Williams) completes the cluster the model views solidly: a course record of 1/2, 1/3 on this going, and 6/11 at the trip represent the most extensive condition-specific profile in the field, and Williams' barn runs at an A/E of 1.85. Gordon Grey is harder to dismiss at the handicap level despite a moderate model grade — an 80% recent strike rate and a course record of 3/4 are eye-catching figures, though 0/2 on today's going tempers that; his sire's A/E of 2.27 is the highest in the field but rests on only 21 runs. Dancing In Paris returns from 273 days off with a going record of 0/4 and a trip strike of only 2/14 — the evidence does not invite confidence. The model is cool on the official top weights Prydwen (OR 103) and Military Academy (OR 102), grading both weak, which effectively concentrates the analytical interest on the mid-rated cluster around Regal Ulixes and Spinning Wheel. --- Worcester --- 17:25 Hurdle · 2m 7f · Good · 11 runners Prince De Juilley stands out as one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at OR 111 with a recent won percentage of 20%. Despite his long absence (DSLR 215), he has shown form on similar ground and distance in the past. Pike Road is another solid contender, also rated OR 112 and trained by Martin Keighley, who tends to perform well above expectations. The Long Walk, with a similar model rating of OR 111, brings experience from Jonjo O'Neill's yard but lacks recent wins. Eaton Anne, Impecunious, and Ebony Warrior round out the main contenders, each rated solidly by the model despite their trainers' mixed records. Chief dangers include Fairlawn Skipper, Peter’s Last Deal, Gwash, Balkardy, and Lacrima, all carrying weaker ratings but with potential to upset if conditions suit them. --- Punchestown --- 17:30 NHF · 2m 100y · Good · 20 runners Working Class Hero appears to be one of the stronger runners in the Punchestown race at 17:30, according to the Notebook’s model, despite having no official rating or recent form to speak of. Thomas Gibney trains him and H.E. Sexton will ride, with the horse likely to adopt a prominent position throughout the race. Gordon Elliott's Returning Officer is another runner rated highly by the model, though he too has no official rating and limited recent form. The trainer’s strong performance in similar races (A/E 1.74 on 91) adds weight to his chances, while H.C. Swan will be aboard, likely holding a position towards the rear before making a late run. Dieux Diligence, trained by Joseph O’Brien and ridden by J.L. Gleeson, is rated weakly despite having no official rating or recent form. Noble Trix, Iron Sword, Seamy Appletart, Union Boy, Woodie Wiley, Go Loud, Dee Bee Zed, Ealu Tapa, Lauro James, She’s A Divil, It’s Buster’s Way, Which Flannerys, Sir Vinny, Farney Bridge, Hurricane Leaf, An Bhoireann, and Harbour Man are all rated weakly by the model. Notably, Harbour Man has a long absence of 188 days since his last run but lacks any other compelling form or rating indicators to suggest he will be competitive in this field. --- Lingfield --- 17:35 Turf · 1m 2f · Soft · 7 runners A Major Payne holds the strongest model rating in this seven-runner class 5 contest over a mile and two furlongs on soft, though the form book offers a cautionary note: the Bell runner carries a record of 0/3 on this going and a trainer A/E of 0.83, suggesting connections don't routinely overperform in races of this type. King's Hand merits close attention as a solid model proposition — a perfect 1/1 at Lingfield and 1/2 at the trip, and with a front-running style that could prove advantageous if Kaaranah, the only other front-runner in the field, fails to sustain the pressure; between those two pace-setters, King's Hand holds the superior record at this course and trip. Kokanee and Bintkend fill moderate model grades — the former has yet to win on this going (0/2) and is winless recently, while Bintkean returns from a 109-day absence with only a single run at the trip to her name. The remainder — Birthday Angel (172 days off, weak model), Kaaranah (sire A/E of just 0.21), and Bobacious (winless recently) — are not where the evidence clusters. --- Hexham --- 17:40 Chase · 2m 4f 15y · Good · 9 runners Conquer The Breeze heads the model's rankings for this class 5 chase at Hexham, the Notebook's model rating the Adam Nicol-trained front-runner as strong — the pick of the nine on that measure — and a recent win rate of 40% supplies concrete recent-form backing. Likely to secure an uncontested lead from the front, that running style can be a meaningful asset in a field where every other runner is held-up or prominent. Passengerontheship, from the Sam England yard, earns a solid model grade and Sam England's trainer A/E of 1.27 across 44 similar races is one of the more compelling yard signals on the card. Out On Her Own also receives a solid model rating for Dianne Sayer, though a recent strike rate of 0% tempers the case. The Clonmel Kid and Dream Jet both carry higher official ratings than Conquer The Breeze — 104 and 101 respectively against 102 — but the model is only moderate on both and neither has shown recent winning form, while Dream Jet's sire A/E of 1.24 on 35 offers at least a marginal supporting note. Halpha Soleil returns from a long absence of 107 days and the Hammond yard's A/E of 0.77 does not encourage; Similar Story's trainer figure of 0.61 is the weakest on the card and the model is equally cool on both. --- Chepstow --- 17:47 Turf · 5f 16y · Good To Soft · 9 runners My Maria (Archie Watson / Luke Morris) emerges as one of the stronger runners according to the model, despite lacking an official rating. With a trainer signal well above expectation at 2.74 on 23, she has shown consistent form under this stable. Drawn in stall 4, My Maria’s tactical versatility is a positive, especially given her lack of a record course trip win (0/1). Penny Capri (David Loughnane / David Probert) is rated solid by the model and boasts a handy draw in stall 3. However, her sire's below-par performance (A/E 0.39 on 22) casts some doubt over her reliability. Secret Rival (Ed Walker / Cieren Fallon), Miss Moneypit (Rod Millman / George Wood), and Big Hitter (Jamie Osborne / Saffie Osborne) are all rated moderate by the model but lack recent form or have underperforming connections, making them less compelling bets. Angels Lane (Henry Candy / Nicola Currie) has a respectable trainer signal of 0.98 on 73, though her sire’s performance is slightly better at 1.35 on 43. The remaining runners, Chilli, Clueisinthetitle, and Resemblance, are viewed as weaker prospects by the model due to their form and connections. --- Epsom --- 17:55 Turf · 6f 3y · Good To Soft · 16 runners Gold Star Hero and Fine Interview share the model's strongest assessment in what looks a genuinely competitive six-furlong handicap on good to soft at Epsom. Gold Star Hero has won 60% of his recent starts, holds a 1/1 record on today's going, and breaks from stall 3 as a front-runner — if he elects to bowl along from the off, he could prove difficult to peg back on this undulating track. Fine Interview matches him on the model and carries OR 99 off stall 8, also a front-runner by style and sporting a 6/16 trip record and 1/2 on this going; with two front-runners prominent in the draw, there may be a healthy pace on, which could benefit the closers. Partisan Hero is the one course specialist in the field — a 2/2 record here is hard to dismiss — and his 3/7 trip record adds weight, though his sire's A/E of 0.61 on a reasonable 29-run sample is a mild note of caution. Roman Dragon tops the handicap on OR 100 and carries a sire A/E of 1.10 from 87 runs, a meaningful sample, but the model is only moderate on him and his recent form reads 20% won. Apollo One (OR 97, solid on the model) has raced here twice without winning and his recent run of 0% won tempers enthusiasm, despite a 3/34 trip record suggesting some familiarity with the conditions. Among the hold-up runners, Sondad's 1/1 course record catches the eye and Badri's trainer posts an A/E of 2.26 from 50 comparable starts — strong signal for a runner the model rates moderate — making those two worth noting as dangers from deeper in the field. Topwarrior returns from a 225-day absence and is rated weak by the model; Invictus Gold tries first-time headgear but the model is similarly lukewarm. --- Lingfield --- 18:05 Turf · 1m 1f · Soft · 7 runners Four runners share a solid model grade at the head of this modest mile-and-one-furlong soft-ground class 5, with little to separate them on ratings. Royal Bodyguard (OR 69, stall 5) is held up and carries a 20% recent strike rate, though his trip record reads 0/3, which is a notable caveat. Daretobedifferent sits in stall 1 and has won once from two runs at this trip, while Del Corso's sire posts a strong A/E of 1.76 across 91 runs, though Del Corso himself is winless recently and has yet to score at this trip or on soft. The chief disruption to the top-rated quartet may come from Takeitorleaveit — rated only moderate by the model but posting a 40% recent strike rate, a going record of 1/2 on soft and 2/4 at the trip, and the likely front-running lead from stall 6 that a soft-ground mile and one furlongs could suit a horse who travels prominently. --- Hexham --- 18:10 Chase · 3m 41y · Good · 9 runners No Regrets looks to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, carrying a rating of 110 and having shown form with two wins from his last five starts (won 20%). Trained by Nicky Richards, who has outperformed expectations with similar horses (A/E 1.97 on 23), No Regrets tends to be held-up before making late progress. Sir Carnegie is also rated strongly by the model at an OR of 100 and shares a recent win rate of 20%. With Mickey Bowen's stable performing well above average in similar races (A/E 0.78 on 21), Sir Carnegie’s prominent running style could see him challenge for the lead early. Always Busy, rated solidly by the model at an OR of 104, has a consistent record with Christian Williams but lacks recent winners despite having run frequently (trainer A/E 1.03 on 246). Giovanni Change and Foxinthebox both carry moderate ratings and have shown some form recently, though their trainers' performances in similar races are below average. West Lawn, Lakefield Flyer, Lights Are Green, and Tell Me Again all face tougher tasks given the model’s weaker assessments and lower official ratings, despite recent win rates mirroring those of stronger contenders. --- Chepstow --- 18:20 Turf · 7f 16y · Good To Soft · 7 runners Poetry Of Time is the standout on the model's assessment — rated very strong against this field, William Haggas's yard posts a trainer A/E of 1.60 from a substantial 150-run sample in similar contests, and a trip record of 1/3 adds some grounding in conditions; racing prominently from stall 7, Cieren Fallon will want to ensure the horse is travelling well early. The chief threat looks to be Mighty Vega, who carries a solid model grade, a recent strike rate of 40%, and a trip win to his name at 1/3, though he has yet to win on good to soft going in his one start on it; as a front-runner from a handy stall 4, he is likely to set the tempo and could make this awkward for those coming from off the pace. Aigeas (OR 77, first-time headgear) and Island Bear (OR 78, also first-time headgear) both carry modest or weak model grades and have records that offer little encouragement at this trip or on this going, while Lyra Lea's 0/5 trip record makes it hard to build a strong case from the data. --- Lingfield --- 18:35 Turf · 1m 2f · Soft · 9 runners Relentless Hero holds the strongest hand by some margin here, the Notebook's model rating him well clear of his rivals and his OR 70 giving him a solid official benchmark in a field where most runners carry no handicap mark at all. Andrew Balding's runner races prominently from stall 7 and whilst his trip record reads 0/2, the model's very strong assessment sits above anything else on show. Cold Fish is the main challenger the model identifies, graded strong and trained by H Kobeissi whose A/E of 1.10 from 34 runs in similar contests is an encouraging connection signal; prominent-racing and drawn in stall 8, it shapes as the likeliest threat to the top selection. Fabled Spirit, the pick of the Archie Watson pair, gets a moderate model rating and a sire A/E of 0.88 suggests no particular edge from that angle, whilst stablemate Celestial Cen grades weak alongside the bulk of the remainder. Ataturk is held up from stall 3 and combines a weak model grade with a sire A/E of only 0.78 and an 0/1 record on today's soft going, leaving the evidence pointing firmly back towards the top two. --- Hexham --- 18:43 Hurdle · 2m 48y · Good · 7 runners Freddy Robinson is the model's strongest pick here, the Notebook's model rating him well despite a winless recent spell, and Brian Ellison's yard runs at a healthy 1.32 A/E in similar contests, which adds weight to the case. Mojito Des Mottes carries the highest official mark in the field at OR 118 and has the polish of Harry Cobden in the saddle, though Ben Pauling's A/E sits right at par and the recent form reads blank. Two Auld Pals represents the third-strongest model view and Lucinda Russell's operation is another yard running above expectations at 1.30 A/E, while a 20% recent strike rate at least shows the yard's runners are in reasonable nick. Pyramid Place is the chief unknown, returning from a 105-day absence with no recent data to lean on, and the remainder of the field grades weakly on the model, with Stay In The Game's trainer A/E of 0.37 over a large sample a notable negative flag. --- Chepstow --- 18:53 Turf · 7f 16y · Good To Soft · 12 runners Kinskodi heads the model's assessments here, graded strong alongside Dapper Gee Gee despite carrying the higher official mark of 80, and the Harry Eustace yard operates at a healthy 1.08 A/E across a sizeable 54-run sample in this type of contest. Dapper Gee Gee brings the most compelling course-and-distance profile in the field — two wins from four at Chepstow, two from five on today's good to soft, and two from six at the trip — and a recent 40% strike rate underlines that Tony Carroll's charge is in form, though the trainer's A/E of 0.85 across 133 runs is a mild check on enthusiasm. With both This Farh and Bela Sonata also drawn on the outer and inclined to run prominently, Dapper Gee Gee (stall 2, front-runner) may find his customary position contested rather than gifted, which is worth noting given how comfortably he has travelled when able to dictate. Under The Twilight, rated solid by the model at OR 75, has one win from three on this going and a remarkable five wins from 27 at the trip but has shown nothing in recent outings, so the hold-up style leaves some reliance on things falling right. Racingbreaks Ryder returns from a 221-day absence with a weak model rating and an 0/5 record on good to soft, making it hard to press a case there, while Connie's Rose's course record of seven wins from 31 and ten from 65 at the trip marks her as a place stalwart rather than a winning proposition on recent form. --- Lingfield --- 19:05 Turf · 4f 217y · Soft · 4 runners Zoustar Dreams (Ed Dunlop / Mr Jack Callan) emerges as one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model with a solid grade, despite carrying an official rating of 63. Her record at this trip is modest with just one win from three attempts, but she has shown recent form with a 20% strike rate and should be able to find a good position from stall 3. Rosieisme Darling (Hayley Burton / Tyler Heard), rated moderate by the model, also carries an OR of 56 and boasts a similar recent won percentage at 20%. She is drawn in stall 2 and has a prominent running style, which could give her an advantage early on. My Mate Mackley (Adam Kirby / Sam Hitchcott) and Jane Of The Jungle (Scott Dixon / Mikkel Mortensen), both rated weak by the model with ORs of 47 and 56 respectively, lack recent form wins at this trip and are likely to be held-up from stalls 1 and 4. --- Hexham --- 19:13 Hurdle · 2m 7f 63y · Good · 7 runners Ebselysees makes the strongest case here, the model rating the Susan Corbett front-runner alongside Abbey Scope as the two stronger runners in what is otherwise a modest seven-horse hurdle over nearly three miles of good ground. Corbett's yard posts an A/E of 1.20, and Ebselysees' 40% recent strike rate is comfortably the sharpest in the field; uncontested out in front, she may not be easy to peg back. Abbey Scope carries the higher official mark (106 to 102) and Nicky Richards runs at a healthy 1.24 A/E, though the sire line is markedly below par at 0.41, and a held-up style means Danny McMenamin will need things to fall right. The chief unknown is Dinons, officially rated 112 and therefore the most highly-marked runner in the race, but returning from a 177-day absence for Brian Ellison and assessed only weak by the model — a long layoff combined with a recent 0% strike rate makes her hard to rely upon at present. --- Chepstow --- 19:25 Turf · 1m 14y · Good To Soft · 10 runners Fifty Sent (T Faulkner / Gina Mangan) appears to be the standout contender based on the model’s strong rating and recent form, with a win percentage of 40%. Despite having no wins on Good To Soft going from just one run, Fifty Sent's front-running style could see her take an uncontested lead from stall 5. Judge Frank (John Flint / David Probert) is rated solid by the model, boasting a strong trainer signal and course record with two placings in similar conditions. Eye Of The Water (Ronald Harris / Cieren Fallon), also solidly graded, has fared well on Good To Soft going but lacks recent form. Mooretown Lad (Adrian Wintle / Finley Marsh) is another solid option with a decent trainer signal and some course experience, though his sire’s record suggests caution. Liberty Bird (James Evans / Mr Joe Leavy), A Rose Adaay (G Harris / Mr Ben Ffrench Davis), Saturnalia (J S Moore / Taylor Fisher), Praise Indeed (William Muir / Saffie Osborne), Fitzmaurice (Tony Carroll / Luke Morris), and Scarfo (Bernard Llewellyn / Miss Zoe Lewis) all carry weaker model grades and lack recent form or strong records to suggest they can mount a serious challenge. --- Lingfield --- 19:40 Turf · 7f 135y · Soft · 13 runners Drymee (James Fanshawe / Jack Doughty) is rated one of the stronger runners by the model despite having no official rating or recent form to speak of. Drawn in stall 5, Drymee typically adopts a held-up racing style and could benefit from a clear path late on. Princess Maitha (Owen Burrows / Mr Jack Callan), also strong according to the model, returns after a long absence of 318 days but has raced once on soft going with no success. Sayidah Aleen (Marco Botti / Mr Jack Gilligan) and Show Me Gold (Tom Dascombe / William Cox) are both solid prospects; Sayidah Aleen lacks recent form and hasn’t won in two starts at this trip, while Show Me Gold’s trainer has underperformed but the horse could be prominent from stall 8. Dovecote (Ralph Beckett / Robbie Downey), drawn widest in stall 10 after a long layoff, faces an uphill battle to find clear running early on. Ernie McCrew (J S Moore / Georgia Dobie) and Call Alert (William Muir / B D L Sayette) both have moderate grades but are yet to prove their worth at this course or trip, with the latter having better sire performance figures. Don Pablo Colina (George Baker / Pat Cosgrave), starting from stall 11, lacks recent form and faces an uncertain path in a competitive field. --- Chepstow --- 19:55 Turf · 1m 14y · Good To Soft · 9 runners King Of The Dance (stall 3) appears to be one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, rated at OR 50 with a prominent running style, despite having no recent wins and poor records on this going and course. Charencey (stall 4), also strongly rated by the model at OR 54, could pose a significant challenge given his consistent form under Ian Williams' training and Joe Leavy's riding. Rival (stall 1) returns after a long absence of 285 days but has shown solid trainer performance metrics with John Flint; however, his record is patchy across various conditions. Whiskey Sunrise (stall 6), wearing first-time headgear, and Homeland (stall 8), both rated weak by the model despite their long absences, might struggle to replicate past form on this going. Uncle Albert (stall 9) and Nutcracker (stall 7), also weakly graded, have no recent wins and limited records that favour them in today's conditions. Prince Ali (stall 2) and Marisitta (stall 5) complete the field but lack notable form or strong ratings to suggest they will be genuine threats here. --- Lingfield --- 20:10 Turf · 6f · Soft · 8 runners Pixie Diva is the one the Notebook's model rates most strongly here, and George Scott's mare races prominently which suits her well enough on soft ground at six furlongs, though her trip record of 0/5 is a note of caution worth filing. Monsieur Kodi is the model's other solid-graded runner and brings the most relevant form figures to the table: 7/35 at the trip and 2/12 on this going, and Richard Fahey's yard runs above expectation in races of this type (A/E 1.18 from a substantial 263-run sample). Queue Dos matches Pixie Diva on both official rating and model grade but has been held up in 12 attempts at six furlongs without a win, which the form record makes hard to overlook. The chief danger at lower model grades is Raffles Angel, who owns a course record of 1/1 and 4/9 at the trip, though 284 days off the track is a significant unknown for connections. --- Chepstow --- 20:25 Turf · 6f 16y · Good To Soft · 12 runners On Key (Scott Dixon / Luke Morris) is one of the stronger runners in the Notebook's model, with an official rating of 53 and a solid sire signal of 1.14 on 46 runs. Drawing stall five, On Key typically races prominently and has form at this trip despite not having won recently. Autumn Angel (Tony Carroll / Cieren Fallon) is also rated strongly by the model, boasting a trainer signal that slightly underperforms expectations but a recent win rate of 20%. With a record course win and solid performances on good to soft going, Autumn Angel could be a key player from stall four. Too Much Trevor (G Harris / Olivia Tubb), though not as highly rated by the model, has shown consistency in similar conditions with an official rating of 50. However, her lack of recent success and poor record this going may pose concerns. Ravenglass (Adrian Wintle / Joe Leavy) and Punchbowl Flyer (John O'Shea / A Egan) are both rated moderately by the model but have more form to their credit at Chepstow, particularly Punchbowl Flyer who has a decent record on this going despite not having won recently. --- Lingfield --- 20:40 Turf · 7f · Soft · 10 runners No Gain looks to be the standout contender in this class 6 handicap over seven furlongs at Lingfield on soft going, with a strong model rating and solid form backing up her record course win. Drawn in stall 8, she is rated as a prominent runner who could secure an advantageous position early on. Court of Session offers another serious threat, particularly given his experience on the current going despite limited recent success. Dayman brings a consistent sire signal into play but lacks recent winning form; he has drawn well in stall 7 and may benefit from a late run if uncontested pace allows it. Drafted and Ballybaymoonshiner both have modest model ratings and similar running styles, likely to be held up off the front foot, while Beau Jardine boasts some positive records on soft ground but faces tough competition here. Zambezi Diamond, Fulford Cross, Kessaar Power (returning after a long absence), and Daddy Chill round out the field with weaker model grades; they may pose dangers if conditions suit them perfectly, though their recent form suggests caution is warranted. --- Chepstow --- 21:00 Turf · 1m 4f · Good To Soft · 9 runners Electric Bass (Roger Teal / David Probert) is one of the stronger runners according to the model, rated at 57 with a prominent running style from stall 1. Despite having no wins on this course or going, his sire connection has performed well above expectations, and he benefits from a favourable draw that could see him race prominently without much pressure early on. Cloudside Rock (David Simcock / Cieren Fallon) is also rated strongly by the model at 60, with a front-runner style from stall 6. His trainer connection underperforms in similar races, but his recent form includes a win, and he could seize an uncontested lead if no one challenges him early. Big Win (James Owen / Luke Morris), rated solidly at 60, is wearing first-time headgear and has not won recently, though his running style suggests he may be held up in the race. Bug Boy (Tony Newcombe / Miss Taryn Langley) returns after a long absence of 266 days but boasts decent form on this going and trip, with two wins from five attempts at Chepstow. However, his recent record is poor, and he could face an uphill battle to regain winning ways.